CAJ | 학술논문

针对突发性群体事件中的大规模人群聚集行为，建立了基于人群中单个个体的Agent行为模型，研究了人群规模对群体行为发展的影响效应。其中构建的Agent行为模型主要模拟了突发性群体事件中个体在人群中的三个典型行为，即非理性情绪的产生、个体之间的谣言传播以及不同类型个体之间的合作与对抗行为。通过仿真分析发现，在一定的环境下如果人群的密度越高、谣言传播的强度越大，则人群从稳定的聚集状态向暴力性骚乱行为转化的过渡过程持续时间就越短，但人群密度增大到一定程度后对群体行为的影响效应将不再显著；此外，增加现场的警力数量能够有效延缓人群的行为向群体骚乱方向转化的速度，但无法阻止群体行为稳定性的恶化。
침대돌발성군체사건중적대규모인군취집행위，건립료기우인군중단개개체적Agent행위모형，연구료인군규모대군체행위발전적영향효응。기중구건적Agent행위모형주요모의료돌발성군체사건중개체재인군중적삼개전형행위，즉비이성정서적산생、개체지간적요언전파이급불동류형개체지간적합작여대항행위。통과방진분석발현，재일정적배경하여과인군적밀도월고、요언전파적강도월대，칙인군종은정적취집상태향폭력성소란행위전화적과도과정지속시간취월단，단인군밀도증대도일정정도후대군체행위적영향효응장불재현저；차외，증가현장적경력수량능구유효연완인군적행위향군체소란방향전화적속도，단무법조지군체행위은정성적악화。
Individual’s behaviors in emergency group incident are modeled using Agent method to simulate assembling phenomenon and the influence of crowd’s scale to the incident’s development is analyzed. The constructed Agent model is consisted of three basic functions, namely the production of rage emotion, rumor spreading among the group and con-frontation strategies between individuals. The simulation findings indicate that the higher density of group members in scenario and more powerful of the rumor’s spreading, the faster the individual’s transmitted from watchers to mobs, but there is a threshold that the members density has no impact beyond this level. Additionally, putting more cops into the sce-nario can effectively prevent riot occurring, but the group emotions still deteriorate.