CAJ | 학술논문

2013年中国玉米产量创下2.177亿t历史新高，为缓解农户售粮压力，国家在东北地区实施临储玉米收购和采购玉米费用补贴政策。在政策执行期内国家收购6919万t临储玉米，市场供给压力明显缓解。尽管5-9月临储玉米拍卖成交2902万t，但第3季度国内玉米市场依然一度出现“阶段性"供给偏紧现象，玉米市场价格创下历史新高。2014年国内玉米丰收，国家将会在东北地区继续执行临储收购政策。预计2014/15年度国内饲用玉米消费增加500万t，工业消费增加100万t，社会商业玉米库存数量高于上年度，因此认为2015年国内玉米价格不会超过2014年，临储收购政策对玉米市场价格推升效用减弱。
2013년중국옥미산량창하2.177억t역사신고，위완해농호수량압력，국가재동북지구실시림저옥미수구화채구옥미비용보첩정책。재정책집행기내국가수구6919만t림저옥미，시장공급압력명현완해。진관5-9월림저옥미박매성교2902만t，단제3계도국내옥미시장의연일도출현“계단성"공급편긴현상，옥미시장개격창하역사신고。2014년국내옥미봉수，국가장회재동북지구계속집행림저수구정책。예계2014/15년도국내사용옥미소비증가500만t，공업소비증가100만t，사회상업옥미고존수량고우상년도，인차인위2015년국내옥미개격불회초과2014년，림저수구정책대옥미시장개격추승효용감약。
China's maize output reached a record high of 217.7 million tons in 2013. Government implemented temporary purchasing and storage policy for maize in the northeast area of China, and 69.19 million tons were stored up, which made the pressure of supply loose. Although 29.02 million tons temporary national maize were auctioned from May to September, domestic maize market still once appeared the phenomenon of periodic tight supply in the 3rd quarter of 2014, and prices hit record high. Domestic maize was harvested again in 2014, and the government would continue to carry out the temporary storage purchase policy in the northeast area. It is expected that the consumption of domestic forage maize will increase 5 million tons in 2014/15, industrial consumption will increase 1 million tons, and social commercial maize stocks will be more than last year. Domestic maize price in 2015 will not exceed that of 2014 consequently, and the role of temporary storage purchase policy on promoting maize price will drop off.