CAJ | 학술논문

针对舆情在网络论坛中传播的特点建立数学模型，分析了其演化的时段规律。以“厦门公交大火”事件为例，提出了逐步回归的数据拟合方法验证了模型的有效性，并提出了政府介入论坛舆情进行管控的工作流程。最后总结了本研究的不足和未来的研究方向。
침대여정재망락론단중전파적특점건립수학모형，분석료기연화적시단규률。이“하문공교대화”사건위례，제출료축보회귀적수거의합방법험증료모형적유효성，병제출료정부개입론단여정진행관공적공작류정。최후총결료본연구적불족화미래적연구방향。
For the features of forum sentiment, this paper proposes a mathematical model and analyses features of different stages of its e-volution. This paper validates the model by actual case and proposes some suggestions for the government. Finally this paper gives a brief summary, and points out the inadequacies in this study and the future research priorities.