CAJ | 학술논문

利用青岛市1961—2012逐日日照时数资料,采用 Angstrorm 公式计算了逐日太阳总辐射,并利用线性倾向估计法和Pettitt突变检验方法对青岛市年和四季太阳总辐射的变化进行了分析。结果表明,1961—2012年间青岛市年太阳总辐射呈明显减小趋势,其气候倾向率为-86.69 MJ/10a,达到了极显著水平。年太阳总辐射时间序列的减小突变发生在1993年。青岛市四季太阳总辐射均呈明显的减小趋势,其中夏季太阳总辐射的减小速率最大,春季减小速率最小,四季太阳总辐射的气候倾向率分别为-8.41,-40.23,-17.79和-20.26 MJ/10a。夏季、秋季和冬季太阳总辐射时间序列出现减小突变,突变出现年份分别为1993,1998和1996。青岛市年太阳总辐射与年平均风速呈显著正相关,而与年平均实际水汽压和相对湿度呈显著负相关。
이용청도시1961—2012축일일조시수자료,채용 Angstrorm 공식계산료축일태양총복사,병이용선성경향고계법화Pettitt돌변검험방법대청도시년화사계태양총복사적변화진행료분석。결과표명,1961—2012년간청도시년태양총복사정명현감소추세,기기후경향솔위-86.69 MJ/10a,체도료겁현저수평。년태양총복사시간서렬적감소돌변발생재1993년。청도시사계태양총복사균정명현적감소추세,기중하계태양총복사적감소속솔최대,춘계감소속솔최소,사계태양총복사적기후경향솔분별위-8.41,-40.23,-17.79화-20.26 MJ/10a。하계、추계화동계태양총복사시간서렬출현감소돌변,돌변출현년빈분별위1993,1998화1996。청도시년태양총복사여년평균풍속정현저정상관,이여년평균실제수기압화상대습도정현저부상관。
In this study,the Angstrom formula was used to calculate global solar radiation based on daily sunshine duration data of Qingdao station during the period 1961-2012.The temporal trend and abrupt change of annual and seasonal total global solar radiation were detected with the methods of linear regres-sion and Pettitt test,respectively.The results showed that the annual global solar radiation in Qingdao ex-hibited decreasing trend during 1961—2010 and the decreasing rate was 86.69 MJ/decade.A significant downward shift in annual global solar radiation was detected in 1 9 9 3 through the Pettitt test.On the sea-sonal scale,the significant decreasing trends were identified in summer,autumn,and winter.The decrea-sing rate in spring,summer,autumn,and winter were 8.41,40.23,17.79,and 20.26 MJ/decade,re-spectively.Significant downward shifts in summer,autumn,and winter were detected in 1993,1998,and 1996,respectively.Annual global solar radiation in Qingdao had significantly positive correlation with an-nual mean wind speed,and significant negative correlations with annual mean actual vapor pressure,and relative humidity.