南京信息工程大学学报
南京信息工程大學學報
남경신식공정대학학보
JOURNAL OF NANJING UNIVERSITY OF INFORMATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
2014年
6期
570-576
,共7页
沈刚%严明良%叶玉珍%周俊驰
瀋剛%嚴明良%葉玉珍%週俊馳
침강%엄명량%협옥진%주준치
雷暴%雷击事故%雷击率%地区分布
雷暴%雷擊事故%雷擊率%地區分佈
뇌폭%뢰격사고%뢰격솔%지구분포
lightning event%lightning-hit accidents%lightning-stroke rate%regional distribution
基于江苏省1980—2010年共31 a逐日雷暴和雷击伤亡人数资料的统计和分析得到:1)江苏省雷暴过程和雷击事故均呈上升趋势,但后者较前者上升趋势更为明显;2)江苏省雷击事故过程的雷击率呈单峰型特性,气候倾向率为正值,呈上升趋势;3)江苏省历年雷暴和雷击伤亡总人数都呈单峰型特性,峰值出现在7月,趋势线基本平行,相关系数(0?627885)较高,上升趋势较为一致,雷击死亡人数波峰出现在7月,而雷击受伤人数的波峰却出现在8月;4)雷击伤亡人数的雷击率呈双峰型特性,其峰值分别出现在5月和7月,峰谷值相差很大,各月波动明显;5)雷击伤亡总人数、死亡人数和受伤人数的各雷击率地区分布不同,雷击伤亡人数的雷击率最高值区出现在南通地区,死亡人数的雷击率最高值区在南通和淮安地区,而受伤人数雷击率最高的区域在徐州地区,其地域分布差异较大,非均一性特征明显。
基于江囌省1980—2010年共31 a逐日雷暴和雷擊傷亡人數資料的統計和分析得到:1)江囌省雷暴過程和雷擊事故均呈上升趨勢,但後者較前者上升趨勢更為明顯;2)江囌省雷擊事故過程的雷擊率呈單峰型特性,氣候傾嚮率為正值,呈上升趨勢;3)江囌省歷年雷暴和雷擊傷亡總人數都呈單峰型特性,峰值齣現在7月,趨勢線基本平行,相關繫數(0?627885)較高,上升趨勢較為一緻,雷擊死亡人數波峰齣現在7月,而雷擊受傷人數的波峰卻齣現在8月;4)雷擊傷亡人數的雷擊率呈雙峰型特性,其峰值分彆齣現在5月和7月,峰穀值相差很大,各月波動明顯;5)雷擊傷亡總人數、死亡人數和受傷人數的各雷擊率地區分佈不同,雷擊傷亡人數的雷擊率最高值區齣現在南通地區,死亡人數的雷擊率最高值區在南通和淮安地區,而受傷人數雷擊率最高的區域在徐州地區,其地域分佈差異較大,非均一性特徵明顯。
기우강소성1980—2010년공31 a축일뇌폭화뢰격상망인수자료적통계화분석득도:1)강소성뇌폭과정화뢰격사고균정상승추세,단후자교전자상승추세경위명현;2)강소성뢰격사고과정적뢰격솔정단봉형특성,기후경향솔위정치,정상승추세;3)강소성력년뇌폭화뢰격상망총인수도정단봉형특성,봉치출현재7월,추세선기본평행,상관계수(0?627885)교고,상승추세교위일치,뢰격사망인수파봉출현재7월,이뢰격수상인수적파봉각출현재8월;4)뢰격상망인수적뢰격솔정쌍봉형특성,기봉치분별출현재5월화7월,봉곡치상차흔대,각월파동명현;5)뢰격상망총인수、사망인수화수상인수적각뢰격솔지구분포불동,뢰격상망인수적뢰격솔최고치구출현재남통지구,사망인수적뢰격솔최고치구재남통화회안지구,이수상인수뢰격솔최고적구역재서주지구,기지역분포차이교대,비균일성특정명현。
The statistical characteristics of the daily lightning events and their deprived injury and death amount from 1980 to 2010 in Jiangsu province were analyzed in this paper. The results were displayed as follows:1) The lightning events are increasing in these years as well as their deprived accidents. The lightning?stroke rate of light?ning accidents shows a single peak pattern with positive and ascent climatic tendency.2) The lightning events and deprived accidents in Jiangsu province shows a single peak in July with a paralleling trend line,a high relative coef?ficient(0?627 885) and an unanimous ascent trend.The lightning?hit death toll reaches its peak in July while the injuries peak in August.The lightning?stroke rate of casualties peaks in May and July with considerable peak valley difference and month?to?month disparity.3) There was obvious regional difference of the lightning?hit casualties in Jiangsu province.Nantong and Huaian has the highest lightning?stroke rates of the death toll while Xuzhou has the highest lightning?stroke rate of the injuries.