CAJ | 학술논문

全社会用电量不断增长是电力工业发展的基础。正确地预测全社会用电量，既是为了保证全社会经济平稳发展的需要，也是电力公司自身健康发展的需要。本文运用多种数据方法对四川省内全社会用电量进行预测，同时引入专家评定的理念，对各种预测方法给出影响权重，最终得到较优的全社会用电量预测数据，为四川省内能源资源平衡、电力余缺调剂，以及电网资金和人力资源的需求与平衡提供可靠的依据。
전사회용전량불단증장시전력공업발전적기출。정학지예측전사회용전량，기시위료보증전사회경제평은발전적수요，야시전력공사자신건강발전적수요。본문운용다충수거방법대사천성내전사회용전량진행예측，동시인입전가평정적이념，대각충예측방법급출영향권중，최종득도교우적전사회용전량예측수거，위사천성내능원자원평형、전력여결조제，이급전망자금화인력자원적수구여평형제공가고적의거。
The consumption of the whole society growth is the basis for the development of power industry. Correctly predict the power consumption of the whole society,not only in order to ensure the smooth development of the whole social economy needs,but also the need of the development of the electric power company.Using a variety of data of Sichuan Province is applied to forecast the electricity consumption,while the introduction of expert evaluation concept,for forecasting method gives influence weight,this paper finally get the data to predict social power consumption for Sichuan Province energy balance,power adjust surplus and deficiency,and provide reliable demand and balance the power of capital and human resources.