CAJ | 학술논문

为了能够对决策方案做出准确的评价，选择出最佳方案。决策者根据自己的实际经验做出判断。但是各决策者的知识、实际经验都会有一定的误差与局限性。因此，本文建立了专家分析法和灰色关联分析法的集成模型，该模型充分利用了专家赋予的决策值和评价矩阵信息值得相关性，求出更合理的属性权重值进行决策，保证决策结果与两种分析方法的一致性。引用最小二乘法原理建立优化模型，使各方案的决策值与两种方法的偏差最小。以确定防洪标准方案评价为例，验证了方法的有效性和合理性。
위료능구대결책방안주출준학적평개，선택출최가방안。결책자근거자기적실제경험주출판단。단시각결책자적지식、실제경험도회유일정적오차여국한성。인차，본문건립료전가분석법화회색관련분석법적집성모형，해모형충분이용료전가부여적결책치화평개구진신식치득상관성，구출경합리적속성권중치진행결책，보증결책결과여량충분석방법적일치성。인용최소이승법원리건립우화모형，사각방안적결책치여량충방법적편차최소。이학정방홍표준방안평개위례，험증료방법적유효성화합이성。
In order to choose the proper flood control system, we must evaluate each urban flood control program exactly. Decision-makers put up their own opinions on the weight of each index according to their practical experience. Although the result reflects the subjective judgment of decision makers, each person’s knowledge and experience has some error and limitation to some extent. Thus, this page build a model which make better use of expert scoring and evaluation matrix to determine a more reasonable weight of each index. We quote least square method build a optimized model which wil minimize the error between the two methods.