CAJ | 학술논문

在国家森林火险等级的定性化预报方法的基础上，利用云南省气象站点样本与空间位置及相关地形地貌因子数据，借助 GIS 空间建模功能，结合云南省特有的地理特点和气候特点，提出了一种基于地表温度场、湿度场遥感数据以及风速、蒸发量空间模拟数据的火险等级预报新方法。并以云南省4月的地表温度与湿度分析模型得到的测报数据，结果表明：该方法可较好地对森林火险天气等级进行化预报，数据与云南省4月多年预报的趋势相吻合。可较好地实现森林火险等级的定量化预报。
재국가삼림화험등급적정성화예보방법적기출상，이용운남성기상참점양본여공간위치급상관지형지모인자수거，차조 GIS 공간건모공능，결합운남성특유적지리특점화기후특점，제출료일충기우지표온도장、습도장요감수거이급풍속、증발량공간모의수거적화험등급예보신방법。병이운남성4월적지표온도여습도분석모형득도적측보수거，결과표명：해방법가교호지대삼림화험천기등급진행화예보，수거여운남성4월다년예보적추세상문합。가교호지실현삼림화험등급적정양화예보。
The paper analyzed national forest fire risk rating forecast method,and proposed a new forecast method combined with the typical geographical features and climatic characteristics of Yunnan Province, which also used samples with spacial location and related landform data from Meteorology Station of Yun-nan Province.The new method was based on the remote sensing data of land surface temperature,hu-midity and the spatial simulation data of wind speed,rainfall,evaporation capacity.By analyzing the for-est data,the result showed that this method better predicted the forest fire risk rating quantitatively. Tendency of the prediction was in agreement with the previous data of Yunnan Province in April.