CAJ | 학술논문

目的：依据中医运气学说的“三年化疫”理论研究北京地区几种呼吸道传染病的高发与3年前出现异常气候变化年份之间的关联性。方法：提取北京地区1970年～2004年35年中实际气候与干支气候推演不符合的年份，视为异常气候年；并与其后3年北京地区几种常见呼吸道传染病的高发情况作关联性分析，主要依据中医五行理论和运气学说的“三年化疫”理论对“异常气候—传染病高发”进行吻合度评价。结果：北京地区流脑、猩红热、百日咳、麻疹的高发与3年前的异常气候变化有关，尤其是年干为辛、庚、戊、癸的年份。结论：中医运气学说的“三年化疫”理论提示呼吸道传染病的高发可能与3年前气候的异常变化有关。
목적：의거중의운기학설적“삼년화역”이론연구북경지구궤충호흡도전염병적고발여3년전출현이상기후변화년빈지간적관련성。방법：제취북경지구1970년～2004년35년중실제기후여간지기후추연불부합적년빈，시위이상기후년；병여기후3년북경지구궤충상견호흡도전염병적고발정황작관련성분석，주요의거중의오행이론화운기학설적“삼년화역”이론대“이상기후—전염병고발”진행문합도평개。결과：북경지구류뇌、성홍열、백일해、마진적고발여3년전적이상기후변화유관，우기시년간위신、경、무、계적년빈。결론：중의운기학설적“삼년화역”이론제시호흡도전염병적고발가능여3년전기후적이상변화유관。
Objective:To study the association between the high incidence of several respiratory diseases and abnormal cli-mate changes in Beijing three years ago, which was defined according to the Yunqi theory of‘pestilence occurring after three years’ .Methods:In the study period ( 1970~2004 ) , years of abnormal climate change were extracted and then the relationship between their weather characteristic and the high incidence of several common respiratory diseases after three years was analyzed, which was mainly according to the Chinese medicine theory of‘five phases’ and‘five circuits and six qi’ .Results:The high incidence of epidemic cerebrospinal meningitis, scarlet fever, pertussis and measles corre-lated to the irregular weather changes three years ago, particularly in the years of heavenly stems with Xin, Geng, Wu, Gui.Conclusion:The high incidence of respiratory diseases may be related to the weather condition three years ago.