CAJ | 학술논문

应用博弈论的方法，以BOT公路项目为例，考虑新建公路项目交通流量随时间成S型生长曲线变化的特点对项目收益带来的影响，建立政府与项目公司之间的博弈模型，得到特许权期最优决策模型；并通过算例验证了模型的可行性，为政府和项目公司进行特许权期的决策提供了理论方法。
응용박혁론적방법，이BOT공로항목위례，고필신건공로항목교통류량수시간성S형생장곡선변화적특점대항목수익대래적영향，건립정부여항목공사지간적박혁모형，득도특허권기최우결책모형；병통과산례험증료모형적가행성，위정부화항목공사진행특허권기적결책제공료이론방법。
Taken the BOT highway projects as an example, considering how the S-shaped growth curve of traffic flow impact on the changing of project benefits over time, the game model between the government and the project company is established on the basis of the game theory. The optimum decision-making model of the concession period is received and the feasibility of this model is proved by the example. It provides a theoretical decision method of the concession period for both of the government and the project company.