科技管理研究
科技管理研究
과기관리연구
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT RESEARCH
2014年
24期
243-247
,共5页
水资源%可持续利用%均方差决策法%评价
水資源%可持續利用%均方差決策法%評價
수자원%가지속이용%균방차결책법%평개
water resources%sustainable utilization%MSE decision method%evaluation
为改善水资源可持续利用现状,从水资源系统、社会经济系统、人口系统、生态环境系统四个方面考虑,建立了水资源可持续利用评价指标体系。基于均方差决策法构建了水资源可持续利用评价模型,并对2003-2012年陕西省水资源可持续利用进行评价。结果表明,(1)2003-2012陕西省水资源可持续利用度大体上处于上升趋势。(2)陕西省水资源复合系统可持续利用状态对社会经济子系统依赖程度较高。(3)制约陕西省未来水资源可持续利用的主要因素在于陕西省水资源与人口系统的不协调发展,应引起相关部门的高度重视。
為改善水資源可持續利用現狀,從水資源繫統、社會經濟繫統、人口繫統、生態環境繫統四箇方麵攷慮,建立瞭水資源可持續利用評價指標體繫。基于均方差決策法構建瞭水資源可持續利用評價模型,併對2003-2012年陝西省水資源可持續利用進行評價。結果錶明,(1)2003-2012陝西省水資源可持續利用度大體上處于上升趨勢。(2)陝西省水資源複閤繫統可持續利用狀態對社會經濟子繫統依賴程度較高。(3)製約陝西省未來水資源可持續利用的主要因素在于陝西省水資源與人口繫統的不協調髮展,應引起相關部門的高度重視。
위개선수자원가지속이용현상,종수자원계통、사회경제계통、인구계통、생태배경계통사개방면고필,건립료수자원가지속이용평개지표체계。기우균방차결책법구건료수자원가지속이용평개모형,병대2003-2012년합서성수자원가지속이용진행평개。결과표명,(1)2003-2012합서성수자원가지속이용도대체상처우상승추세。(2)합서성수자원복합계통가지속이용상태대사회경제자계통의뢰정도교고。(3)제약합서성미래수자원가지속이용적주요인소재우합서성수자원여인구계통적불협조발전,응인기상관부문적고도중시。
In order to improve the sustainable utilization situation of water resources,the evaluation index system for water resources sustainable utilization is established from the four aspects of water resources systems,social and economic sys-tems,demographic,ecological environmental system.Based on MSE decision method,an evaluation modal of water re-sources sustainable utilization is constructed.Water resources sustainable utilization is evaluated from 2003 to 2012 in Shaanxi Province.It proves that: (1 )The sustainable utilization of water resources in Shaanxi Province in general has been on an upward trend from 2003 to 2012;(2)Water resources system of Shaanxi Province is highly dependent on the sustainable utilization of water resources socio-economic subsystem;(3)The main factors of restricting the future devel-opment in Shaanxi Province is the uncoordinated development between water resources and population,which should arouse great attention from the relevant departments.