兰州商学院学报
蘭州商學院學報
란주상학원학보
JOURNAL OF LANZHOU COMMERCIAL COLLEGE
2014年
6期
86-94
,共9页
耕地抛荒%微观因素%四川丘陵地区%分位数回归
耕地拋荒%微觀因素%四川丘陵地區%分位數迴歸
경지포황%미관인소%사천구릉지구%분위수회귀
farmland abandoning%micro-factors%Sichuan hilly area%quantile regression
在两部门模型框架下剖析耕地抛荒的微观因素,包括劳动力因素、收入因素与耕地因素;以实地调研数据为基础,结合分位数回归检验微观因素对耕地抛荒的影响程度。研究结果表明:在耕地抛荒严重的情况下,对耕地抛荒存在推动作用的因素包括农业劳动力的教育程度,非农劳动力的年龄与数量,非农收入比重与耕地面积;存在抑制作用的因素包括农业劳动力的年龄、数量与农业产出。
在兩部門模型框架下剖析耕地拋荒的微觀因素,包括勞動力因素、收入因素與耕地因素;以實地調研數據為基礎,結閤分位數迴歸檢驗微觀因素對耕地拋荒的影響程度。研究結果錶明:在耕地拋荒嚴重的情況下,對耕地拋荒存在推動作用的因素包括農業勞動力的教育程度,非農勞動力的年齡與數量,非農收入比重與耕地麵積;存在抑製作用的因素包括農業勞動力的年齡、數量與農業產齣。
재량부문모형광가하부석경지포황적미관인소,포괄노동력인소、수입인소여경지인소;이실지조연수거위기출,결합분위수회귀검험미관인소대경지포황적영향정도。연구결과표명:재경지포황엄중적정황하,대경지포황존재추동작용적인소포괄농업노동력적교육정도,비농노동력적년령여수량,비농수입비중여경지면적;존재억제작용적인소포괄농업노동력적년령、수량여농업산출。
Under the theoretical framework of“the two department” model, this paper argues that there are three kinds of micro-factors playing a role in farmland abandoning, which are labors factors, income fac-tors and farmland ones. Then, this paper applying quantile regression analyses the degree of impacts from those factors to farmland abandoning with the data from field research at some countries in Sichuan hilly ar-eas. And the results show that: under the condition of farmland abandoning being serious, there is some positive effects from such factors as agricultural labors’ education, non-agricultural labors’ age and num-ber, the proportion of non-agricultural income and farmland areas;some negative effect from such factors as agricultural labors’ age and number, and income from agriculture.