交通运输系统工程与信息
交通運輸繫統工程與信息
교통운수계통공정여신식
JOURNAL OF COMMUNICATION AND TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS ENGINEERING AND INFORMATION
2014年
6期
223-230
,共8页
城市交通%决策过程%活动分析法%儿童陪伴出行%家庭通勤制约度%交通需求管理
城市交通%決策過程%活動分析法%兒童陪伴齣行%傢庭通勤製約度%交通需求管理
성시교통%결책과정%활동분석법%인동배반출행%가정통근제약도%교통수구관리
urban traffic%decision-making process%activity-based analysis%children accompany travel%family commuting constraints degree%traffic demand management
为了考察家庭通勤活动对儿童接送行为决策过程的内在影响机理,本文基于活动理论与时间地理学方法,应用昆明市居民出行日志调查的第一手数据,以家庭为分析单元,构建基于活动的二维时空出行链,剖析家庭中儿童陪伴出行的时空间特征及其典型接送模式;提出通勤制约度概念,量化家长通勤活动的时空间制约程度和相互影响程度,并建立结构方程模型。结果表明:当男女家长双方通勤制约度均衡时,相互制约影响强烈,家庭内部会优先选择制约度最小的接送模式,然后再根据家长与儿童出行路线的匹配程度来确定接送人员,接送工具决策处于整个决策过程的最末位。当男女家长双方通勤制约度不均衡时,家庭内部则优先选择通勤制约度低的家长接送儿童,再确定接送工具和接送模式,接送行为上升为家庭活动模式的优先考虑因素。
為瞭攷察傢庭通勤活動對兒童接送行為決策過程的內在影響機理,本文基于活動理論與時間地理學方法,應用昆明市居民齣行日誌調查的第一手數據,以傢庭為分析單元,構建基于活動的二維時空齣行鏈,剖析傢庭中兒童陪伴齣行的時空間特徵及其典型接送模式;提齣通勤製約度概唸,量化傢長通勤活動的時空間製約程度和相互影響程度,併建立結構方程模型。結果錶明:噹男女傢長雙方通勤製約度均衡時,相互製約影響彊烈,傢庭內部會優先選擇製約度最小的接送模式,然後再根據傢長與兒童齣行路線的匹配程度來確定接送人員,接送工具決策處于整箇決策過程的最末位。噹男女傢長雙方通勤製約度不均衡時,傢庭內部則優先選擇通勤製約度低的傢長接送兒童,再確定接送工具和接送模式,接送行為上升為傢庭活動模式的優先攷慮因素。
위료고찰가정통근활동대인동접송행위결책과정적내재영향궤리,본문기우활동이론여시간지이학방법,응용곤명시거민출행일지조사적제일수수거,이가정위분석단원,구건기우활동적이유시공출행련,부석가정중인동배반출행적시공간특정급기전형접송모식;제출통근제약도개념,양화가장통근활동적시공간제약정도화상호영향정도,병건립결구방정모형。결과표명:당남녀가장쌍방통근제약도균형시,상호제약영향강렬,가정내부회우선선택제약도최소적접송모식,연후재근거가장여인동출행로선적필배정도래학정접송인원,접송공구결책처우정개결책과정적최말위。당남녀가장쌍방통근제약도불균형시,가정내부칙우선선택통근제약도저적가장접송인동,재학정접송공구화접송모식,접송행위상승위가정활동모식적우선고필인소。
In order to study the internal mechanism of decision-making process for children escort behavior influenced by families' commuter activities. This paper takes families as a unit to build activities-based two-dimensional space-time trip chain analysis tool by using the first-hand data of Kunming residents travel diary survey. It dissects spatial characteristics of children accompany travel and typical transfer mode, on the bases of activity theory and time geography. Commuter constraints degree is defined to qualify the degree of parents commuting activities’space constraints and interaction. A structural equation model is established. The result shows that when commute strength of both parents are equivalent which has a strong mutual restriction, they will choose the on-the way mode first and then determine transfer person, transfer mode is determined in the end. When parents commute constraints are uneven, escort become preferential consideration of family activities, and leisure parent will be chosen to shuttle children before transfer mode determined.