CAJ | 학술논문

为提高农民专业合作社社员参与合作社订单农业的积极性，进而促进订单农业发展，基于对江西省农民专业合作社575位社员的调查数据，构建二元 Logistic 模型实证分析了社员与农民专业合作社签订销售合同的影响因素。结果表明：社员参与合作社订单农业的可能性与社员的文化程度、生产规模、兼业化程度、农产品销售需要协助的程度、政府的扶持力度、合作社对社员农业技术水平的提高程度与对生产设施的投资力度、社员获得盈利返还的程度呈正相关；而与其家庭劳动力人数和农产品价格波动程度呈负相关。对于社员年龄，30岁以下社员参与合作社订单农业的可能性较小，而51～60岁社员参与合作社订单农业的可能性较大。此外，性别与基础设施状况对社员参与合作社订单农业的影响不显著。
위제고농민전업합작사사원삼여합작사정단농업적적겁성，진이촉진정단농업발전，기우대강서성농민전업합작사575위사원적조사수거，구건이원 Logistic 모형실증분석료사원여농민전업합작사첨정소수합동적영향인소。결과표명：사원삼여합작사정단농업적가능성여사원적문화정도、생산규모、겸업화정도、농산품소수수요협조적정도、정부적부지력도、합작사대사원농업기술수평적제고정도여대생산설시적투자력도、사원획득영리반환적정도정정상관；이여기가정노동력인수화농산품개격파동정도정부상관。대우사원년령，30세이하사원삼여합작사정단농업적가능성교소，이51～60세사원삼여합작사정단농업적가능성교대。차외，성별여기출설시상황대사원삼여합작사정단농업적영향불현저。
The factors of influencing professional cooperative members ’participation in contract farming were analyzed by the established binary Logistic model based on the investigation data of 575 members of farmers’professional cooperative in Jiangxi to increase the positivity of farmers’professional cooperative members’participation in contract farming for promoting development of contract farming. The results showed that the educational level,production scale,part-time degree,degree of needed help for agricultural products sale, governmental support intensity , improvement degree of members ’ agricultural technical level by farmers ’ professional cooperative, investment intensity of production facilities by farmers’professional cooperative and members′profit are positively related to the possibility of farmers’professional cooperative members’participation in contract farming,but the family labor force and price fluctuation degree of agricultural products are negatively related to the possibility of farmers’ professional cooperative members participation in contract farming. The participation possibility of members with 51-60 years old is higher than that of members below 30 years old.In addition,sex and infrastructure status have no obvious effect on professional cooperative members'participation in contract farming.