灾害学
災害學
재해학
JOURNAL OF CATASTROPHOLOGY
2015年
1期
141-149
,共9页
唐亚明%冯卫%李政国%孙巧银
唐亞明%馮衛%李政國%孫巧銀
당아명%풍위%리정국%손교은
滑坡%地质灾害%ALARP原则%风险评价%风险减缓%风险管理%综述
滑坡%地質災害%ALARP原則%風險評價%風險減緩%風險管理%綜述
활파%지질재해%ALARP원칙%풍험평개%풍험감완%풍험관리%종술
landslide%Geo-hazard%ALARP principle%risk assessment%risk mitigation%risk management%review
从风险管理的框架入手,按照风险分析、风险评价、风险管理的逻辑流程,总结了有关滑坡风险管理的国内外研究现状和方法体系。风险分析包括确定分析范围、危险性分析、危害后果分析和风险的计算。风险评价包括财产损失风险评价、个体生命风险评价和群体生命风险。评价的结果可以有三种情况:不可接受、普遍可接受、可容忍。滑坡风险评价应根据不同的比例尺,采用恰当的技术手段,获取相应的评价参数,定量化是其必然的发展趋势。风险减缓通常有三种途径:①减小风险发生的可能性;②减轻风险发生的后果;③转移风险。地质灾害风险管理不单纯是一个技术问题,它同样也是个社会问题。
從風險管理的框架入手,按照風險分析、風險評價、風險管理的邏輯流程,總結瞭有關滑坡風險管理的國內外研究現狀和方法體繫。風險分析包括確定分析範圍、危險性分析、危害後果分析和風險的計算。風險評價包括財產損失風險評價、箇體生命風險評價和群體生命風險。評價的結果可以有三種情況:不可接受、普遍可接受、可容忍。滑坡風險評價應根據不同的比例呎,採用恰噹的技術手段,穫取相應的評價參數,定量化是其必然的髮展趨勢。風險減緩通常有三種途徑:①減小風險髮生的可能性;②減輕風險髮生的後果;③轉移風險。地質災害風險管理不單純是一箇技術問題,它同樣也是箇社會問題。
종풍험관리적광가입수,안조풍험분석、풍험평개、풍험관리적라집류정,총결료유관활파풍험관리적국내외연구현상화방법체계。풍험분석포괄학정분석범위、위험성분석、위해후과분석화풍험적계산。풍험평개포괄재산손실풍험평개、개체생명풍험평개화군체생명풍험。평개적결과가이유삼충정황:불가접수、보편가접수、가용인。활파풍험평개응근거불동적비례척,채용흡당적기술수단,획취상응적평개삼수,정양화시기필연적발전추세。풍험감완통상유삼충도경:①감소풍험발생적가능성;②감경풍험발생적후과;③전이풍험。지질재해풍험관리불단순시일개기술문제,타동양야시개사회문제。
Based on risk management framework,according to the logic flow of risk analysis,assessment and management,the present situation and the research method at home and abroad of landslide risk management are summarized.The risk analysis includes the determining of the analysis scope,the hazards analysis,the conse-quences analysis and the risk calculation.The risk assessment includes the property loss assessment,the individual life loss assessment and the society life loss assessment.The assessment results can be of three conditions:unac-ceptable,widely acceptable,and tolerable.A certain scale should to be chosen at the start of the landslide risk as-sessing,accordingly the appropriate techniques can be adopted to obtain the corresponding assessment parameters, and quantitative is the inevitable tendency on risk assessment.Three ways usually are used to implement the risk mitigation strategy:the first one is to reduce the occurrence of the risk;the second one is to reduce the conse-quence of the risk;and the third one is to transfer the risk.Geological disaster risk management is not only a tech-nical problem,but also a social problem.