内蒙古农业科技
內矇古農業科技
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INNER MONGOLIA AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
2014年
5期
68-71
,共4页
阴秀霞%王洪丽%王彦平%杨柳
陰秀霞%王洪麗%王彥平%楊柳
음수하%왕홍려%왕언평%양류
平均最高气温%平均最低气温%气温日较差%显著性检验
平均最高氣溫%平均最低氣溫%氣溫日較差%顯著性檢驗
평균최고기온%평균최저기온%기온일교차%현저성검험
Mean maximum temperature%Mean minimum temperature%Daily temperature range%The significance test
利用呼伦贝尔市1961-2013年16个气象台站53年逐月平均最高气温、最低气温及气温日较差资料,采用显著性检验方法对该地区逐月平均最高、最低气温及气温日较差的变化趋势进行研究。结果表明:逐月最高气温的变化趋势除了1月和12月部分台站呈下降趋势外,各站其它月份平均最高气温都呈上升趋势,其中5、7、8、9月的上升趋势显著,最显著是8月,绝大多数台站通过了0.001显著性检验;逐月最低气温的变化趋势除了1月的满洲里、额尔古纳的变化趋势为下降外,各站其余月份变化趋势均为上升,且除了1、2月和12月的西部几个台站不显著外,大多数台站各月都通过了0.01显著性检验,其中3、4、5、6月最显著,均通过了0.001显著性检验;平均气温日较差的变化趋势12月中除了8月和9月的大部分台站的变化趋势为上升,绝大多数台站其余月份变化趋势为下降。在全球气候变暖的背景下,呼伦贝尔市各地各月最低气温的上升趋势比最高气温更明显,变化率平均约高出0.20~0.40℃·(10a)-1之间;气温日较差变化趋势显著减小,是最低气温的升幅明显高于最高气温所致;全市各站各月的气温日较差均在11-17℃之间,其中北部以及东部台站较大,在15-17℃之间,其余地区在11-13℃之间。
利用呼倫貝爾市1961-2013年16箇氣象檯站53年逐月平均最高氣溫、最低氣溫及氣溫日較差資料,採用顯著性檢驗方法對該地區逐月平均最高、最低氣溫及氣溫日較差的變化趨勢進行研究。結果錶明:逐月最高氣溫的變化趨勢除瞭1月和12月部分檯站呈下降趨勢外,各站其它月份平均最高氣溫都呈上升趨勢,其中5、7、8、9月的上升趨勢顯著,最顯著是8月,絕大多數檯站通過瞭0.001顯著性檢驗;逐月最低氣溫的變化趨勢除瞭1月的滿洲裏、額爾古納的變化趨勢為下降外,各站其餘月份變化趨勢均為上升,且除瞭1、2月和12月的西部幾箇檯站不顯著外,大多數檯站各月都通過瞭0.01顯著性檢驗,其中3、4、5、6月最顯著,均通過瞭0.001顯著性檢驗;平均氣溫日較差的變化趨勢12月中除瞭8月和9月的大部分檯站的變化趨勢為上升,絕大多數檯站其餘月份變化趨勢為下降。在全毬氣候變暖的揹景下,呼倫貝爾市各地各月最低氣溫的上升趨勢比最高氣溫更明顯,變化率平均約高齣0.20~0.40℃·(10a)-1之間;氣溫日較差變化趨勢顯著減小,是最低氣溫的升幅明顯高于最高氣溫所緻;全市各站各月的氣溫日較差均在11-17℃之間,其中北部以及東部檯站較大,在15-17℃之間,其餘地區在11-13℃之間。
이용호륜패이시1961-2013년16개기상태참53년축월평균최고기온、최저기온급기온일교차자료,채용현저성검험방법대해지구축월평균최고、최저기온급기온일교차적변화추세진행연구。결과표명:축월최고기온적변화추세제료1월화12월부분태참정하강추세외,각참기타월빈평균최고기온도정상승추세,기중5、7、8、9월적상승추세현저,최현저시8월,절대다수태참통과료0.001현저성검험;축월최저기온적변화추세제료1월적만주리、액이고납적변화추세위하강외,각참기여월빈변화추세균위상승,차제료1、2월화12월적서부궤개태참불현저외,대다수태참각월도통과료0.01현저성검험,기중3、4、5、6월최현저,균통과료0.001현저성검험;평균기온일교차적변화추세12월중제료8월화9월적대부분태참적변화추세위상승,절대다수태참기여월빈변화추세위하강。재전구기후변난적배경하,호륜패이시각지각월최저기온적상승추세비최고기온경명현,변화솔평균약고출0.20~0.40℃·(10a)-1지간;기온일교차변화추세현저감소,시최저기온적승폭명현고우최고기온소치;전시각참각월적기온일교차균재11-17℃지간,기중북부이급동부태참교대,재15-17℃지간,기여지구재11-13℃지간。
Based on data of monthly average maximum temperature, minimum temperature and daily temperature range of Hulunbuir for 53 years from 1961 to 2013,using of method of test of significance, the change trend of monthly average maximum temperature, minimum temperature and daily temperature range in the area were researched. The results showed that: the monthly maximum temperature of every stations showed a increased trend except some stations showed a downward trend in January and December, and there was a significant upward trend in 5,7,8,9 months, the most significant in August and through the significance test of 0.001 in vast majority of stations; The monthly minimum temperature of every stations showed a increased trend except Manzhouli and Eerguna showed a downward trend in January, and the most stations each month through the significance test of 0.01 in addition to several western stations was not significant in1,2and 12 months, the most significant in3,4,5 and 6 months through the significance test of 0.001.The average diurnal temperature range showed a downward trend at most stations in other months of the year except that most stations was increasing trend in 8 and 9 months. Under the background of global climate warming, the monthly minimum temperature rise around is more obvious than the maximum temperature in Hulunbuir, the average rate of change was 0.20~0.40℃, (10a)-1; The diurnal change trend of temperature was decreased because that the minimum temperature increase was significantly higher than that of the highest temperature; The diurnal temperature range were between 11-17℃,it is larger in the north and east station in between 15-17℃,the rest area is 11-13℃.