CAJ | 학술논문

棉花作为一项农产品，由于受自然条件的影响大，产量存在较大的波动性。“入世”以来我国棉花出口逐年减少，进口持续增加，导致国内的棉花供给严重依赖进口，国内外棉价的联动性不断增强。笔者通过对近年来中国棉花在产量、进口量以及价格等方面的数据进行分析，认为目前我国的棉花市场存在较大的波动性。因此，为了稳定国内棉花市场，需要适度增加棉花种植面积、健全棉花目标价格补贴政策，并加快棉农生产方式转变。
면화작위일항농산품，유우수자연조건적영향대，산량존재교대적파동성。“입세”이래아국면화출구축년감소，진구지속증가，도치국내적면화공급엄중의뢰진구，국내외면개적련동성불단증강。필자통과대근년래중국면화재산량、진구량이급개격등방면적수거진행분석，인위목전아국적면화시장존재교대적파동성。인차，위료은정국내면화시장，수요괄도증가면화충식면적、건전면화목표개격보첩정책，병가쾌면농생산방식전변。
As an important farm product ,cotton output is highly unstable because of great influence of natural situation .After China's accession to the WTO ,the cotton export has been decreased while import has been increased year by year .Consequently , China is over‐dependent on import cotton from abroad ,and the co‐movement of cotton price at home and abroad is reinforced .By analyzing the yield ,import and price of cotton in recent years ,the writer finds that China's cotton market is volatile .In order to stabilize the domestic market of cotton ,we need to increase the acreage for cotton production ,improve the policy of target price subsidy and accelerate the change of production mode .