CAJ | 학술논문

新型城镇化的推进，户籍制度改革对农民工的迁徙决策会产生重大影响，而同时农民工回流的决策对于我国中西部欠发达地区的城镇化推进有着重要意义。文章运用“推－拉”理论的思想以“城（流出地）－城（流入地）”为分析框架，利用对曾在外打工的回到江西省内工业园务工农民工的调查结果，实证分析了农民工回流的影响因素。研究发现，能否在城市稳定体面的生活是农民工回流决策的决定因素，户籍制度反而没有政府想象的那么重要。发达地区城市高昂的居住成本、日常生活成本及处于城市底层的就职状态促使外出农民工选择回到原流出地就近就业。
신형성진화적추진，호적제도개혁대농민공적천사결책회산생중대영향，이동시농민공회류적결책대우아국중서부흠발체지구적성진화추진유착중요의의。문장운용“추－랍”이론적사상이“성（류출지）－성（류입지）”위분석광가，이용대증재외타공적회도강서성내공업완무공농민공적조사결과，실증분석료농민공회류적영향인소。연구발현，능부재성시은정체면적생활시농민공회류결책적결정인소，호적제도반이몰유정부상상적나요중요。발체지구성시고앙적거주성본、일상생활성본급처우성시저층적취직상태촉사외출농민공선택회도원류출지취근취업。
Pushing forward new -type urbanization and reforming the household registration system have a signifi-cant impact on migration decision -making of rural-urban migrants , and at the same time the policy of backflow of the rural-urban migrants has important implications for advancing urbanization of the less developed areas in the midwest of China.By applying the idea of "push-pull theory", this paper takes "city ( outflow areas ) –city ( inflow areas)"as the analysis framework , uses the survey result of rural -urban migrants who return to industrial park of Jiangxi province to go farming after working outside and carries out empirical analysis of the influence factors of backflow of the rural -urban migrants.According to research , we find that the determinant of the policy of back-flow of the rural-urban migrants is whether they can live a stable and decent life in the city , while the household registration system factor is not so important as the government has ever thought.High living costs , costs of daily life in cities of developed areas and the employment status of being at the bottom of the city make rural -urban mi-grants go back to the original outflow areas to get a job with a short commute.