CAJ | 학술논문

文章从需求的角度研究了宏观经济波动对旅游业的影响。研究结果表明，国内旅游收入对物价、人均国民收入和利率等宏观经济指标波动的富有弹性，工资收入与旅游业呈正相关，而物价与利率波动与国内旅游需求呈负相关。文章以中国四川为例进行验证，实证结果符合理论分析。另外，实证研究还发现人均国民收入和消费物价指数对旅游业具有较强的预测力。
문장종수구적각도연구료굉관경제파동대여유업적영향。연구결과표명，국내여유수입대물개、인균국민수입화리솔등굉관경제지표파동적부유탄성，공자수입여여유업정정상관，이물개여리솔파동여국내여유수구정부상관。문장이중국사천위례진행험증，실증결과부합이론분석。령외，실증연구환발현인균국민수입화소비물개지수대여유업구유교강적예측력。
This article studies the impact of macro-economic fluctuation on tourism from the perspective of demand. The findings show, with Sichuan Province as an empirical case, that domestic tourism income proves elastic to macroscopical economic index such as price, national income per capita and interest rate. Wage income is positive related to tourism, while price and interest rate fluctuations are negatively correlated to the domestic tourism demand. In this paper, the example of Sichuan Province validates the theoretical analysis is consistent with the empirical result. Additionally, the study finds that national income per capita and the local consumer’s price index have strong predictive power to Sichuan tourism.