沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）
瀋暘工業大學學報（社會科學版）
침양공업대학학보（사회과학판）
JOURNAL OF SHENYANG UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCE EDITION)
2014年
6期
541-547
,共7页
贸易开放%城镇化%城乡收入差距%VAR模型%格兰杰因果检验
貿易開放%城鎮化%城鄉收入差距%VAR模型%格蘭傑因果檢驗
무역개방%성진화%성향수입차거%VAR모형%격란걸인과검험
trade openness%urbanization%urban-rural income gap%Vector Autoregressive model ( VAR model)%Granger Causality Test
基于1982—2012年我国时间序列数据，利用协整检验和VAR系统的格兰杰因果检验等方法对我国贸易开放、城镇化与城乡收入差距之间的关系进行实证研究。研究发现三者之间存在长期均衡关系，城乡收入差距与贸易开放之间是“U型”关系，与城镇化之间是“倒U型”关系。目前我国正处于两个“U型”曲线的右侧，政府一方面应慎行贸易开放政策，提升对外开放层次和水平，继续推进新型城镇化进程，保障城镇化质量，另一方面要统筹城乡共同发展，缩小城乡收入差距。
基于1982—2012年我國時間序列數據，利用協整檢驗和VAR繫統的格蘭傑因果檢驗等方法對我國貿易開放、城鎮化與城鄉收入差距之間的關繫進行實證研究。研究髮現三者之間存在長期均衡關繫，城鄉收入差距與貿易開放之間是“U型”關繫，與城鎮化之間是“倒U型”關繫。目前我國正處于兩箇“U型”麯線的右側，政府一方麵應慎行貿易開放政策，提升對外開放層次和水平，繼續推進新型城鎮化進程，保障城鎮化質量，另一方麵要統籌城鄉共同髮展，縮小城鄉收入差距。
기우1982—2012년아국시간서렬수거，이용협정검험화VAR계통적격란걸인과검험등방법대아국무역개방、성진화여성향수입차거지간적관계진행실증연구。연구발현삼자지간존재장기균형관계，성향수입차거여무역개방지간시“U형”관계，여성진화지간시“도U형”관계。목전아국정처우량개“U형”곡선적우측，정부일방면응신행무역개방정책，제승대외개방층차화수평，계속추진신형성진화진정，보장성진화질량，령일방면요통주성향공동발전，축소성향수입차거。
Based on time series data from 1982 to 2012 , by using the method of co-integration test and Granger Causality Test of VAR system, the relationship among the trade opening, the urbanization and the urban-rural income gap in China are studied empirically. The study found that the three indicators have the relationship of long-term equilibrium, the relationship between trade opening and urban-rural income gap is U type, while that between trade opening and urban-rural income gap is the inverted U type. At present, China is on the right side of the two "U" curves, which means that on one hand, the policy of trade opening should be implemented carefully, the level of the trade opening is promoted, the process to promote the new urbanization is continued, the quality of urbanization is guaranteed;on the other hand, the common development in urban and rural areas is coordinated, and urban-rural income gap is narrowed.
