CAJ | 학술논문

针对类似于“球队实力”比较的评价问题，通常很难以一次的比赛给出绝对的评价结论，提出了随机模拟型的综合评价模式。即通过参数设置的方式，可将传统评价模式转化为随机模式，求解得到方案之间优劣关系比较的可能性排序结论。可能性排序结论是对绝对形式评价结论的拓展。首先，对随机模拟型评价模式进行了介绍；然后，分析了传统评价方法向随机模拟型评价模式转化的一般思路；在此基础上，基于“在提升排序链出现的可能性基础上，进一步保证排序链的稳定性”的规则，给出了求解可能性排序结论的两种方法。最后，通过算例对随机模拟型评价模式的应用进行了说明，并将其与绝对形式评价结论进行了比较。该评价模式是对传统评价模式的拓展，可进一步拓宽综合评价理论的实际应用范围。
침대유사우“구대실력”비교적평개문제，통상흔난이일차적비새급출절대적평개결론，제출료수궤모의형적종합평개모식。즉통과삼수설치적방식，가장전통평개모식전화위수궤모식，구해득도방안지간우렬관계비교적가능성배서결론。가능성배서결론시대절대형식평개결론적탁전。수선，대수궤모의형평개모식진행료개소；연후，분석료전통평개방법향수궤모의형평개모식전화적일반사로；재차기출상，기우“재제승배서련출현적가능성기출상，진일보보증배서련적은정성”적규칙，급출료구해가능성배서결론적량충방법。최후，통과산례대수궤모의형평개모식적응용진행료설명，병장기여절대형식평개결론진행료비교。해평개모식시대전통평개모식적탁전，가진일보탁관종합평개이론적실제응용범위。
To the problem such as comparison of team capacity which could not reduce an absolute ranking result , we propose a new solution called stochastic simulation model of comprehensive evaluation , that is, we transfer the classical evaluation methods into the model of being stochastic run by parameters setting , in order to get the possibility ranking among all the objectives of their superior comparison .Possibility ranking is an expanding of absolute ranking.First, we introduce the stochastic simulation model of comprehensive evaluation .Then, we consider the normal idea of transferring classical methods to stochastic simulation model .Based on this , two methods of solving the possibility ranking result are given on the rule of “first increasing the possibility of the pos-sibility ranking result and then enhancing its stability”.At last, a numerical example is given to illustrate the use of this evaluation model and the result is compared with that of absolute form .This evaluation model is the exten-sion of traditional model , which can further broaden the application of evaluation theories .