CAJ | 학술논문

利用1951—2012年辽宁暴雨过程及暴雨灾情资料，对辽宁暴雨灾害特征及暴雨灾害评估进行分析，并应用统计分析方法，建立暴雨致灾指标与灾害影响预评估的关系。结果表明：1951—2012年辽宁年平均暴雨日数自东南向西北逐渐减少；辽宁暴雨灾害发生频率自中部向西北逐渐增多，灾害发生频率最高的地区为辽宁西部地区，其中朝阳喀左县暴雨灾害发生频率最高，占该站暴雨总次数的73％；辽宁西部等地区暴雨灾害发生频率较高，但降水强度较小，且发生一级和二级暴雨灾害的概率低于其他地区；除辽西地区外，其他地区暴雨灾害发生频率略低，但降水强度较大。辽宁受暴雨灾害影响最大的受灾体为农作物及其设施，辽阳地区受灾频率最大，占该地区受灾过程总数的95％以上。
이용1951—2012년료녕폭우과정급폭우재정자료，대료녕폭우재해특정급폭우재해평고진행분석，병응용통계분석방법，건립폭우치재지표여재해영향예평고적관계。결과표명：1951—2012년료녕년평균폭우일수자동남향서북축점감소；료녕폭우재해발생빈솔자중부향서북축점증다，재해발생빈솔최고적지구위료녕서부지구，기중조양객좌현폭우재해발생빈솔최고，점해참폭우총차수적73％；료녕서부등지구폭우재해발생빈솔교고，단강수강도교소，차발생일급화이급폭우재해적개솔저우기타지구；제료서지구외，기타지구폭우재해발생빈솔략저，단강수강도교대。료녕수폭우재해영향최대적수재체위농작물급기설시，료양지구수재빈솔최대，점해지구수재과정총수적95％이상。
Based on rainstorm processes and disaster data in Liaoning proince from 1951 to 2012,characteristics of rainstorm disaster and its assessment were analyzed.Relationship between disaster-causing index and assessment of disaster effect was investigate using a statistic analysis method.The results show that the number of annual average rainstorm days in Liaoning province gradually reduces from southeast to northwest during 1951 to 2012.Frequency of rainstorm disaster gradually increases from the middle to northwest,especially in the western Liaoning province. For example,rainstorm disasters account for 73% of total rainstorm events in Kazuo County of Chaoyang.Rain-storm frequency is high and precipitation intensity is weak in the western of Liaoning province,while it is contrary in other areas.Also,probability of rainstorm disaster with the first and second grades is lower in the west than in other areas.Effect of rainstorm disaster on crop and its facilities is most significant.Frequency of affected disaster is the highest in Liaoyang area,and it is 95% of total disaster events.