广东电力
廣東電力
엄동전력
GUANGDONG ELECTRIC POWER
2014年
12期
42-46
,共5页
李鑫%曾杰%杨继旺%吴熳红
李鑫%曾傑%楊繼旺%吳熳紅
리흠%증걸%양계왕%오만홍
风电功率%预测系统%测试平台%准确性%可靠性
風電功率%預測繫統%測試平檯%準確性%可靠性
풍전공솔%예측계통%측시평태%준학성%가고성
wind power%forecasting system%testing platform%veracity%reliability
为保证风电功率预测系统运行的可靠性以及预测结果的精确度,搭建了风电功率预测系统测试平台,测试平台主要包括对预测系统的功能、预测性能、稳定性、可靠性、易用性等多项测试的软件功能测试以及风电功率预测结果的准确性以及可靠性测试。运用该测试平台对某风电场预测系统进行测试,结果显示该系统风电功率短期和超短期预测结果的平均绝对误差、均方根误差、准确率以及合格率4项指标均满足要求,表明该测试平台能够对风电功率预测系统的各主要指标进行全面地评估。
為保證風電功率預測繫統運行的可靠性以及預測結果的精確度,搭建瞭風電功率預測繫統測試平檯,測試平檯主要包括對預測繫統的功能、預測性能、穩定性、可靠性、易用性等多項測試的軟件功能測試以及風電功率預測結果的準確性以及可靠性測試。運用該測試平檯對某風電場預測繫統進行測試,結果顯示該繫統風電功率短期和超短期預測結果的平均絕對誤差、均方根誤差、準確率以及閤格率4項指標均滿足要求,錶明該測試平檯能夠對風電功率預測繫統的各主要指標進行全麵地評估。
위보증풍전공솔예측계통운행적가고성이급예측결과적정학도,탑건료풍전공솔예측계통측시평태,측시평태주요포괄대예측계통적공능、예측성능、은정성、가고성、역용성등다항측시적연건공능측시이급풍전공솔예측결과적준학성이급가고성측시。운용해측시평태대모풍전장예측계통진행측시,결과현시해계통풍전공솔단기화초단기예측결과적평균절대오차、균방근오차、준학솔이급합격솔4항지표균만족요구,표명해측시평태능구대풍전공솔예측계통적각주요지표진행전면지평고。
For ensuring reliability of wind power forecasting system operation and precision of forecasting result,testing platform for wind power forecasting system was established. The testing platform consisted of software testing for functions of the forecasting system,forecasting performance,stability,reliability and usability as well as testing for veracity and relia-bility of the forecasting results. Using this platform to test forecasting system of some wind power field,the result showed four index including average absolute error,mean square root error,accuracy rate and percent of pass f short-term and ultra-short-term forecasting results of wind power of this system were all meeting requirements which indicated that this testing platform was able to comprehensively evaluate various main index of the wind power forecasting system.