吉林林业科技
吉林林業科技
길림임업과기
JILIN FORESTRY SCICNCE AND TECHNOLOGY
2015年
1期
48-54
,共7页
气候变化%中国经济%自然灾害%经济损失
氣候變化%中國經濟%自然災害%經濟損失
기후변화%중국경제%자연재해%경제손실
climate change%economy of China%natural disaster%economy loss
以国家权威部门发布的统计资料为基础数据，分析气候变化对中国经济的影响，结果表明：近15年来气候变化对中国经济的影响在加剧。1991～2005年期间与气候变化相关的自然灾害造成的直接经济损失在932亿～3570亿元之间，呈明显上升趋势；所占GDP的比重为5．70％～1．31％，呈下降趋势。在此期间，干旱、农作物病虫害、草地病虫害、风暴潮、森林火灾的直接经济损失呈现上升趋势；洪涝灾害和台风上升趋势不明显；森林病虫害和草地火灾呈下降趋势。2000年以来自然灾害的直接经济损失一直稳定在相当于GDP 1．08％～2．05％的水平，气候变化对国民经济存在不可忽视的负面影响。
以國傢權威部門髮佈的統計資料為基礎數據，分析氣候變化對中國經濟的影響，結果錶明：近15年來氣候變化對中國經濟的影響在加劇。1991～2005年期間與氣候變化相關的自然災害造成的直接經濟損失在932億～3570億元之間，呈明顯上升趨勢；所佔GDP的比重為5．70％～1．31％，呈下降趨勢。在此期間，榦旱、農作物病蟲害、草地病蟲害、風暴潮、森林火災的直接經濟損失呈現上升趨勢；洪澇災害和檯風上升趨勢不明顯；森林病蟲害和草地火災呈下降趨勢。2000年以來自然災害的直接經濟損失一直穩定在相噹于GDP 1．08％～2．05％的水平，氣候變化對國民經濟存在不可忽視的負麵影響。
이국가권위부문발포적통계자료위기출수거，분석기후변화대중국경제적영향，결과표명：근15년래기후변화대중국경제적영향재가극。1991～2005년기간여기후변화상관적자연재해조성적직접경제손실재932억～3570억원지간，정명현상승추세；소점GDP적비중위5．70％～1．31％，정하강추세。재차기간，간한、농작물병충해、초지병충해、풍폭조、삼림화재적직접경제손실정현상승추세；홍로재해화태풍상승추세불명현；삼림병충해화초지화재정하강추세。2000년이래자연재해적직접경제손실일직은정재상당우GDP 1．08％～2．05％적수평，기후변화대국민경제존재불가홀시적부면영향。
The effect of climate change on economy of China was analyzed based on the essential data which was issued by country's authorities.The result showed that the effect of the climate change in recent 15 years on economy of China was ag-gravating.The natural disasters which were related to climate change resulted in direct economy loss 93.2 billion~357 bil-lion during the year of 1991~2005 and its tendency raised apparently.Furthermore, it occupied 5.70%~1.31%of GDP and presented descent tendency.The direct economy loss of drought, crop diseases and pests, grass diseases and pests, storm surge and forest fire presented rising tendency in the meanwhile.The rising tendency of flood disaster and typhoon were not apparent.The forest diseases and pests and grass fire presented descent tendency.The direct economy loss of nat-ural disaster stabilized the level of 1.08%~2.05%of GDP all the time since 2000.The negative effect of climate change on national economy wouldn't be neglected.
