CAJ | 학술논문

基于2004～2012年工业中33个细分行业样本数据，对贸易自由化对就业影响的阶段性特点进行了分析。实证结果表明，部分劳动密集型行业对就业的影响呈“倒U型”特征，生产率已经达到“饱和”。但从总体上来看，生产率对就业的扩大效应仍有一定的上升空间。在这一行业发展的阶段特点下，贸易自由化对就业总体上具有正向溢出效应。同时，工资上升促进了就业；释放“结构红利”促进生产率提升是解决就业矛盾的根本策略。
기우2004～2012년공업중33개세분행업양본수거，대무역자유화대취업영향적계단성특점진행료분석。실증결과표명，부분노동밀집형행업대취업적영향정“도U형”특정，생산솔이경체도“포화”。단종총체상래간，생산솔대취업적확대효응잉유일정적상승공간。재저일행업발전적계단특점하，무역자유화대취업총체상구유정향일출효응。동시，공자상승촉진료취업；석방“결구홍리”촉진생산솔제승시해결취업모순적근본책략。
Based on the 33 industry segments sample data from 2004 to 2012 , the impact of trade liberalization on employ-ment on the stage characteristics were analyzed .The empirical results show that some labor-intensive industries impact on employment was “inverted U” features;productivity has reached “saturation.” On the whole, however, the expansion of the productivity effect on employment is still some room for growth .At this stage of development of the industry characteristics , the trade liberalization has a positive spillover effect on employment .In addition, it has also been promoting employment wage increase is an important conclusion .Therefore, the release of "structural bonus"to promote productivity improvement is to solve the fundamental contradiction of employment policy .