CAJ | 학술논문

上海自贸区的确立无疑将极大地推动上海经济与贸易的飞速发展。通过多元线性回归模型，对自贸区建设背景下影响上海市1995—2012十八年间经济增长的因素进行了实证分析。发现物质资本投入、劳动投入、人力资本投入、上海出口总额对上海市经济增长有显著贡献，其中人力资本投入和上海出口总额的贡献最明显。在此基础上，提出了促进上海经济快速、稳定增长的建议，以促进上海自贸区的发展。
상해자무구적학립무의장겁대지추동상해경제여무역적비속발전。통과다원선성회귀모형，대자무구건설배경하영향상해시1995—2012십팔년간경제증장적인소진행료실증분석。발현물질자본투입、노동투입、인력자본투입、상해출구총액대상해시경제증장유현저공헌，기중인력자본투입화상해출구총액적공헌최명현。재차기출상，제출료촉진상해경제쾌속、은정증장적건의，이촉진상해자무구적발전。
The establishment of Shanghai Free Trade Zone will undoubtly greatly facilitae the rapid economic and trade growth of Shanghai. In this paper,an empirical analysis on factors affecting the economic growth of Shanghai in the context of free trade zone construction during the 18 years extending from 1995 to 2012 is conducted,using econometrics herein multivariate linear regression model. The research findings indicate:physical capital investment, labor input, human capital investment and total export volume contributed significantly to the economic growth of Shanghai;the contributions from human capital investment and total export volume were the most significant. On the basis of this analysis, suggestions on faciltating rapid and stable economic growth of Shanghai and the development of Shanghai Free Trade Zone are proposed.