统计与信息论坛
統計與信息論罈
통계여신식론단
STATISTICS & INFORMATION TRIBUNE
2015年
2期
28-34
,共7页
结构异质性%能源利用效率%面板计量模型%误差修正模型
結構異質性%能源利用效率%麵闆計量模型%誤差脩正模型
결구이질성%능원이용효솔%면판계량모형%오차수정모형
structural heterogeneity%energy efficiency%panel econometric model%error correction model
在分析结构异质性与能源利用效率关系的基础上,利用固定效应模型与误差修正模型,对中国及其八大经济区域2002—2012年能源利用效率的结构异质性进行了实证研究。从全国来看,能源消费结构和资本配置结构具有显著的正面影响,产业结构和工业结构具有微弱的负面影响,产权结构具有显著的负面影响。结构异质性与能源利用效率存在长期均衡关系,产业结构、产权结构和资本配置结构对能源利用效率均具有较强的短期影响。分区域看,产权结构和资本配置结构具有相同方向不同程度的影响,而能源消费结构、工业结构和产业结构却在方向和数值上表现出区域差异性,结构异质性因素在大多数区域的短期影响不显著。国家应根据各区域具体能效状况,加快结构调整,促进结构节能,提高能源利用效率。
在分析結構異質性與能源利用效率關繫的基礎上,利用固定效應模型與誤差脩正模型,對中國及其八大經濟區域2002—2012年能源利用效率的結構異質性進行瞭實證研究。從全國來看,能源消費結構和資本配置結構具有顯著的正麵影響,產業結構和工業結構具有微弱的負麵影響,產權結構具有顯著的負麵影響。結構異質性與能源利用效率存在長期均衡關繫,產業結構、產權結構和資本配置結構對能源利用效率均具有較彊的短期影響。分區域看,產權結構和資本配置結構具有相同方嚮不同程度的影響,而能源消費結構、工業結構和產業結構卻在方嚮和數值上錶現齣區域差異性,結構異質性因素在大多數區域的短期影響不顯著。國傢應根據各區域具體能效狀況,加快結構調整,促進結構節能,提高能源利用效率。
재분석결구이질성여능원이용효솔관계적기출상,이용고정효응모형여오차수정모형,대중국급기팔대경제구역2002—2012년능원이용효솔적결구이질성진행료실증연구。종전국래간,능원소비결구화자본배치결구구유현저적정면영향,산업결구화공업결구구유미약적부면영향,산권결구구유현저적부면영향。결구이질성여능원이용효솔존재장기균형관계,산업결구、산권결구화자본배치결구대능원이용효솔균구유교강적단기영향。분구역간,산권결구화자본배치결구구유상동방향불동정도적영향,이능원소비결구、공업결구화산업결구각재방향화수치상표현출구역차이성,결구이질성인소재대다수구역적단기영향불현저。국가응근거각구역구체능효상황,가쾌결구조정,촉진결구절능,제고능원이용효솔。
Based on the analysis of the relationship between structural heterogeneity and energy efficiency ,this paper empirically researches the relationship between structural heterogeneity and energy efficiency in China and the eight economic regions during 2002‐2012 by using the fixed effect model and error correction model .Nationally ,the energy consumption structure and capital structure has significant positive effect on energy efficiency .Industrial structure and manufacturing structure have weak negative effect on energy efficiency ,w hile property structure has significant negative effect on energy efficiency . Study shows that there is long‐term equilibrium relationship between structural heterogeneity and energy efficiency .Industrial structure ,property structure and capital structure have strong short‐term impact on energy efficiency . In terms of area , property structure and capital allocation structure has the same direction influence of different size , w hile energy consumption structure , industrial structure and manufacturing structure show regional difference in the direction and value .Structural heterogeneity is not significant of the short‐term impact in most areas .According to the situation of regional energy efficiency , we should speed up structural adjustment , and promote structural energy saving to improve energy efficiency .