上海金融学院学报
上海金融學院學報
상해금융학원학보
JOURNAL OF SHANGHAI FINANCE COLLEGE
2015年
1期
19-30
,共12页
狭义电子货币%传统货币电子化%移动网络支付技术%短期利率%替代效应
狹義電子貨幣%傳統貨幣電子化%移動網絡支付技術%短期利率%替代效應
협의전자화폐%전통화폐전자화%이동망락지부기술%단기리솔%체대효응
narrow electronic money%traditional money electronization%Mobile &Internet Payment Technology%short term interest rate%substitution effect
基于电子货币的狭义定义,本文从狭义电子货币影响货币供求的角度选择影响短期利率的解释变量并构建理论模型。在控制其他影响因素后,发现狭义电子货币对30天期Chibor利率的直接影响并不显著,而主要受传统货币电子化、移动网络等支付技术发展影响的变量,如货币供给流动性、金融电子化程度以及现金漏损率与30天期Chibor利率之间存在长期协整关系,货币供给流动性、金融电子化程度以及现金漏损率对30天期Chibor利率的影响方向均为正。
基于電子貨幣的狹義定義,本文從狹義電子貨幣影響貨幣供求的角度選擇影響短期利率的解釋變量併構建理論模型。在控製其他影響因素後,髮現狹義電子貨幣對30天期Chibor利率的直接影響併不顯著,而主要受傳統貨幣電子化、移動網絡等支付技術髮展影響的變量,如貨幣供給流動性、金融電子化程度以及現金漏損率與30天期Chibor利率之間存在長期協整關繫,貨幣供給流動性、金融電子化程度以及現金漏損率對30天期Chibor利率的影響方嚮均為正。
기우전자화폐적협의정의,본문종협의전자화폐영향화폐공구적각도선택영향단기리솔적해석변량병구건이론모형。재공제기타영향인소후,발현협의전자화폐대30천기Chibor리솔적직접영향병불현저,이주요수전통화폐전자화、이동망락등지부기술발전영향적변량,여화폐공급류동성、금융전자화정도이급현금루손솔여30천기Chibor리솔지간존재장기협정관계,화폐공급류동성、금융전자화정도이급현금루손솔대30천기Chibor리솔적영향방향균위정。
Based on the definition of narrow electronic money, this paper selects explanatory variables of short term interest rate and builds a theoretical model from the perspective of influence of narrow electronic money on money demand and supply. After controlling other influence factors, it is found that narrow electronic money do not have a significant directly effect on 30 day’s period of Chibor interest rate, while there is a long run co-integration relationship between 30 day’s period of Chibor interest rate and the variables of money supply liquidity, financial electronization degree and cash leakage rate which influenced mainly by the development of traditional money electronization and mobile & internet payment technology; and the effects of the money supply liquidity, financial electronization degree and cash leakage rate on 30 day’s period of Chibor interest rate are all positive.