沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）
瀋暘工業大學學報（社會科學版）
침양공업대학학보（사회과학판）
JOURNAL OF SHENYANG UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCE EDITION)
2015年
1期
24-29
,共6页
印度%反倾销%化工产品%回归方程%贸易效应%贸易破坏效应%贸易转移效应
印度%反傾銷%化工產品%迴歸方程%貿易效應%貿易破壞效應%貿易轉移效應
인도%반경소%화공산품%회귀방정%무역효응%무역파배효응%무역전이효응
India%anti-dumping%chemical products%regression equation%trade effect%trade destruction effect%trade diversion effect
随着印度对华化工产品反倾销的频发，其所产生的贸易效应越发值得关注。通过构建半对数线性回归方程，以10位编码的化工行业涉案产品的月度数据作为基础进行实证检验，考察不同阶段贸易破坏效应和贸易转移效应的存在性及其大小，指出印度对华化工产品采取反倾销措施不仅会对我国产生负的贸易破坏效应，同时会引起竞争国对印出口增加，存在正的贸易转移效应。然而对于不同产品，破坏效应出现的时间和大小是有区别的，贸易转移效应则并非普遍存在。
隨著印度對華化工產品反傾銷的頻髮，其所產生的貿易效應越髮值得關註。通過構建半對數線性迴歸方程，以10位編碼的化工行業涉案產品的月度數據作為基礎進行實證檢驗，攷察不同階段貿易破壞效應和貿易轉移效應的存在性及其大小，指齣印度對華化工產品採取反傾銷措施不僅會對我國產生負的貿易破壞效應，同時會引起競爭國對印齣口增加，存在正的貿易轉移效應。然而對于不同產品，破壞效應齣現的時間和大小是有區彆的，貿易轉移效應則併非普遍存在。
수착인도대화화공산품반경소적빈발，기소산생적무역효응월발치득관주。통과구건반대수선성회귀방정，이10위편마적화공행업섭안산품적월도수거작위기출진행실증검험，고찰불동계단무역파배효응화무역전이효응적존재성급기대소，지출인도대화화공산품채취반경소조시불부회대아국산생부적무역파배효응，동시회인기경쟁국대인출구증가，존재정적무역전이효응。연이대우불동산품，파배효응출현적시간화대소시유구별적，무역전이효응칙병비보편존재。
With the anti-dumping in India to chemical products from China happening frequently, the generated trade effect is more and more worthy of attention. Through the construction of a semi-log linear regression equation and based on the monthly data of the 10-digit coding products involving chemical industry, the empirical test is conducted to inspect the existence and size of trade destruction effect and trade diversion effect in different stages. It is pointed out that the anti-dumping measures in India to the chemical products from China will not only make negative trade destruction effects on China, but also cause the exports to India of the competition countries of China to increase, therefore, there is a positive trade diversion effect. However, the appearance time and size of destruction effect are distinct for different products, consequently, the trade diversion effects are not ubiquitous.
