CAJ | 학술논문

研究部署与任务期间导弹武器系统可用性建模方法与仿真实验设计。阐述了可用性概念，明确了量化指标，构建建模与仿真（modeling and simulation，M＆S）一体化框架，利用分层组合的思想，提出了基于体系-实体-行为-状态（system-of-system，entity，behavior，state，SEBS）的可用性建模方法，即以体系组织集成建模为框架，以变结构实体建模为主体，以可用性为中心的行为建模为支撑，以基于故障与战损的可用状态建模为核心，并对模型的形式化描述展开研究。探讨了仿真实验设计的关键技术，提出基于测试-使用-维修-保障（test，opera-tion，maintain，support，TOMS）的实验空间串联分割方法，并对随机变量建模、仿真优化设计、仿真系统可信度评估进行阐述。仿真结果表明，该分层组合评估方法快捷有效，仿真实验设计合理可行，极大地提高了可用性评估和分析的效率，为精确保障奠定了基础。
연구부서여임무기간도탄무기계통가용성건모방법여방진실험설계。천술료가용성개념，명학료양화지표，구건건모여방진（modeling and simulation，M＆S）일체화광가，이용분층조합적사상，제출료기우체계-실체-행위-상태（system-of-system，entity，behavior，state，SEBS）적가용성건모방법，즉이체계조직집성건모위광가，이변결구실체건모위주체，이가용성위중심적행위건모위지탱，이기우고장여전손적가용상태건모위핵심，병대모형적형식화묘술전개연구。탐토료방진실험설계적관건기술，제출기우측시-사용-유수-보장（test，opera-tion，maintain，support，TOMS）적실험공간천련분할방법，병대수궤변량건모、방진우화설계、방진계통가신도평고진행천술。방진결과표명，해분층조합평고방법쾌첩유효，방진실험설계합리가행，겁대지제고료가용성평고화분석적효솔，위정학보장전정료기출。
An availability modeling method and simulation experiment design of missile weapon during the deployment and mission are presented.The definition of missile weapon system availability is proposed,the quantitative indicators are established,and a modeling and simulation (M&S)framework is built on the basis of the SEBS-TOMS model.Layered composite ideas are used in availability modeling,the system-of-system,enti-ty,behavior,state SEBS method is put forward,which is composed of system of system organization integrated modeling,variable structure entity modeling,availability-oriented behavior modeling,and state modeling based on failed and damage.The formal description of the SEBS model is established and the core technology of simu-lation experiments is explored.Then the experimental space partition in serial is proposed,which consideres test,operation,maintain and support TOMS.Also,the stochastic variable modeling,optimization and simula-tion system reliability assessment are explained.The simulation results show that the assessment model is con-venient to use and simulation experimental design is reasonable and practicable,which greatly improves the effi-ciency of availability evaluation and analysis,and lays the foundation for accurate support.