CAJ | 학술논문

质量、成本、工期是项目管理的三大目标，而传统挣值管理缺少对质量目标的管理，结合挣值管理加入质量系数来实现项目管理目标的集成管理。针对传统挣值管理具有的只能根据现有数据进行趋势预测的缺点，利用GM模型能进行数据序列预测的优势对矿建工程数据建立GM （1，1）模型。以井筒建设为例建立模型，从预测结果看，模型预测具有临近时点精度高，“累计造价”的预测误差（1％左右）小于对“月度造价”误差（3％左右）的特点。所以，GM （1，1）模型与挣值管理的联合应用完全能够对矿井建设的施工起到指导作用。
질량、성본、공기시항목관리적삼대목표，이전통쟁치관리결소대질량목표적관리，결합쟁치관리가입질량계수래실현항목관리목표적집성관리。침대전통쟁치관리구유적지능근거현유수거진행추세예측적결점，이용GM모형능진행수거서렬예측적우세대광건공정수거건립GM （1，1）모형。이정통건설위례건립모형，종예측결과간，모형예측구유림근시점정도고，“루계조개”적예측오차（1％좌우）소우대“월도조개”오차（3％좌우）적특점。소이，GM （1，1）모형여쟁치관리적연합응용완전능구대광정건설적시공기도지도작용。
Quality ,cost and schedule are the three objectives of project management ,earned value management and lack of traditional quality management objectives ,combined with earned value management added mass coefficient to achieve integrated management project management goals .For the shortcomings of traditional Earned Value Management has predicted the trend can only be based on existing data ,the use of GM model can predict the data sequence advantage of mine construction project data to establish GM (1 ,1) model .From the prediction results ,the model predictions with high accuracy near the point ,the“total cost”of the prediction error (about 1% ) is less than the“monthly cost”error (about 3% ) features .So GM (1 ,1) model with a combination of earned value management is fully capable of building on the construction of mine play a guiding role .