CAJ | 학술논문

江西推进碳排放交易需要合理分配配额、科学界定碳交易初始价格。通过设计江西GDP、单位GDP能耗、单位能耗碳强度等指标，利用Matlab模拟，在低碳控制政策下，江西碳排放峰值预测量为29111万吨，据此分配江西各地市碳交易配额量，并根据二氧化碳影子价格分析模型，建议江西碳配额初始分配价格为4.14元/吨。
강서추진탄배방교역수요합리분배배액、과학계정탄교역초시개격。통과설계강서GDP、단위GDP능모、단위능모탄강도등지표，이용Matlab모의，재저탄공제정책하，강서탄배방봉치예측량위29111만둔，거차분배강서각지시탄교역배액량，병근거이양화탄영자개격분석모형，건의강서탄배액초시분배개격위4.14원/둔。
Promoting carbon emission trading in Jiangxi Province needs to allocate quotas properly and to de-fine the initial price of carbon emissions scientifically. By design Jiangxi GDP,energy consumption per unit GDP ,energy consumption per unit of carbon intensity and other indicators,using Matlab simulation,the forecast quan-tity of carbon emissions peak in Jiangxi province is nearly 291.11 million tons under the low carbon control policy. Distributing the carbon trading quota around the cities of Jiangxi province on the basis of 291.11 million tons ,and according to the analysis model of shadow price of carbon dioxide, this paper suggests that the initial allocation price of carbon quotas in Jiangxi is 4.14 yuan per ton.