CAJ | 학술논문

农业机械化是运用农业机器代替人力、畜力进行农业生产与经济发展的过程，也是实现现代化农业的主要内容和重要标志之一。为此，主要收集、整理了1994－2012年新疆建设兵团农机装备各指标的历史数据，采用拟合程度较高的指数平滑法进行预测分析未来10年新疆建设兵团的装备水平，包括农业机械总动力、大中型拖拉机及其机引农机具的保有数据、小型拖拉机及其机引农机具的保有数据。该研究旨在为政府部门制定农机化发展规划提供一定的依据。
농업궤계화시운용농업궤기대체인력、축력진행농업생산여경제발전적과정，야시실현현대화농업적주요내용화중요표지지일。위차，주요수집、정리료1994－2012년신강건설병단농궤장비각지표적역사수거，채용의합정도교고적지수평활법진행예측분석미래10년신강건설병단적장비수평，포괄농업궤계총동력、대중형타랍궤급기궤인농궤구적보유수거、소형타랍궤급기궤인농궤구적보유수거。해연구지재위정부부문제정농궤화발전규화제공일정적의거。
Agricultural mechanization is the use of machines and equipment in place of human , animal power and eco-nomic development process of agricultural production and realization of one of the main content and an important symbol of modern agriculture .Total power of agricultural machinery mainly through the corps over the next decade , small and large and medium-sized tractors and farm tools for tractor and farm tools for data reflect the level of agricultural mechani -zation equipment .Bingtuan farm machinery and equipment data collection and collation of 1995-2012 years, with more fitting analysis of exponential smoothing method for the prediction of the level of army equipment , providing the basis for the development of agricultural mechanization development plan .