CAJ | 학술논문

以宁波市2002-2013年数据为基础，根据IPCC碳排放计算方法测算了历年宁波市各类能源的碳排放量。运用LMDI模型，分析了经济发展、能源结构和能源效率等因素对宁波市人均碳排放量的影响。结果表明，十余年来宁波市碳排放总量及人均碳排放总量都呈现出明显的上升趋势，经济发展、能源结构和能源效率等因素对宁波市人均碳排放的影响显著。据此，提出了宁波市应调整产业结构与能源结构，提高能源利用率，完善政策环境等降低碳减排压力的对策建议。
이저파시2002-2013년수거위기출，근거IPCC탄배방계산방법측산료력년저파시각류능원적탄배방량。운용LMDI모형，분석료경제발전、능원결구화능원효솔등인소대저파시인균탄배방량적영향。결과표명，십여년래저파시탄배방총량급인균탄배방총량도정현출명현적상승추세，경제발전、능원결구화능원효솔등인소대저파시인균탄배방적영향현저。거차，제출료저파시응조정산업결구여능원결구，제고능원이용솔，완선정책배경등강저탄감배압력적대책건의。
Based on the data from 2002 to 2013, the paper calculates the carbon emissions of all forms of energy in Ningbo by using the IPCC carbon emission calculation methods. Using LMDI model, the paper makes an analysis of the effects of economic development, energy mix and energy efficiency and other factors on Ningbo per capita carbon emissions. The results show that Ningbo carbon emissions and per capita carbon emissions have emerged as a clear upward trend for decades. Such factors as economic development, energy mix and energy efficiency significantly affect the per capita carbon emissions of Ningbo. To reduce pressure on carbon emissions in Ningbo City, we can optimize the energy structure, adjust the industrial structure and improve energy efficiency.