科技管理研究
科技管理研究
과기관리연구
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT RESEARCH
2015年
2期
201-207
,共7页
经济发展%研发效率%面板%VAR
經濟髮展%研髮效率%麵闆%VAR
경제발전%연발효솔%면판%VAR
economic development%R&D efficiency%panel VAR model
通过面板VAR模型估计，基于2002－2011省际面板数据对中国经济发展和研发效率之间的互动关系进行分析，检验GDP增长、人力资本积累、产业结构升级和研发效率之间的面板Granger因果关系。分析认为研发创新带动经济发展作用的发挥需要完善科研监督体系确保研发经费的充分利用，和政府的优惠政策和激励机制，加强人力资本投资，优化人力资本结构，加大对高技术产业的投资，提高产业自主创新能力，推进高技术产业化和战略性高技术产业向主导性高技术产业转变。
通過麵闆VAR模型估計，基于2002－2011省際麵闆數據對中國經濟髮展和研髮效率之間的互動關繫進行分析，檢驗GDP增長、人力資本積纍、產業結構升級和研髮效率之間的麵闆Granger因果關繫。分析認為研髮創新帶動經濟髮展作用的髮揮需要完善科研鑑督體繫確保研髮經費的充分利用，和政府的優惠政策和激勵機製，加彊人力資本投資，優化人力資本結構，加大對高技術產業的投資，提高產業自主創新能力，推進高技術產業化和戰略性高技術產業嚮主導性高技術產業轉變。
통과면판VAR모형고계，기우2002－2011성제면판수거대중국경제발전화연발효솔지간적호동관계진행분석，검험GDP증장、인력자본적루、산업결구승급화연발효솔지간적면판Granger인과관계。분석인위연발창신대동경제발전작용적발휘수요완선과연감독체계학보연발경비적충분이용，화정부적우혜정책화격려궤제，가강인력자본투자，우화인력자본결구，가대대고기술산업적투자，제고산업자주창신능력，추진고기술산업화화전략성고기술산업향주도성고기술산업전변。
Estimated by a panel VAR model,based on the 2002-201 1 provincial panel data,this paper analyses the in-teraction between China's economic development and R&D efficiency,and inspects panel Granger causality of GDP growth, human capital accumulation,industrial structure upgrading and R&D efficiency.We believe that we should complete the research supervision system to ensure the full usage of the R&D funding and government,and make preferential policies and incentives so that R&D and innovation can drive economic development.Moreover,strengthening human capital investment and optimizing the structure of human capital should be done.And in high-tech industries,investment and independent innovation ability need to be improved so as to promote the high-tech industrialization and shift strategic high-tech indus-try to the dominant high-tech industry.
