CAJ | 학술논문

作战任务的分解与分配是指挥决策中的重要过程，随着战场环境复杂度的增加，确定环境下的任务分配方法已不能适应作战需求。针对不确定性任务分配问题，分析作战任务分解、分配和执行过程中的多种不确定性因素，给出相应的形式化描述。在此基础上，提出一种基于概率推理的适应度计算方法，具体分析各种不确定性任务成功执行概率的计算过程，并给出算例进行验证。仿真结果表明，该方法能有效解决任务分配问题，并对任务分配方案进行定量评价。
작전임무적분해여분배시지휘결책중적중요과정，수착전장배경복잡도적증가，학정배경하적임무분배방법이불능괄응작전수구。침대불학정성임무분배문제，분석작전임무분해、분배화집행과정중적다충불학정성인소，급출상응적형식화묘술。재차기출상，제출일충기우개솔추리적괄응도계산방법，구체분석각충불학정성임무성공집행개솔적계산과정，병급출산례진행험증。방진결과표명，해방법능유효해결임무분배문제，병대임무분배방안진행정량평개。
Decomposition and allocation of combat tasks play important roles in process of command and decision. With the increasing complexity of the battlefield environment, methods of task allocation under certain environment are no longer able to meet the needs of the commander. In order to solve this problem, this paper analyzes the uncertainty existing in the process of decomposition, allocation and execution of tasks, and gives the formal description of each uncertainty with mathematical method. On this basis,it proposes a method of calculating the fitness based on probabilistic reasoning. This method can be used in intelligent algorithm to assess the scheme of task allocation in quantity. Finally,the example verifies the reasonability and effectiveness of the proposed method.