CAJ | 학술논문

作物生产潜力的研究对提高作物产量、评价地区粮食的生产能力和人口承载能力，以及为合理进行农业生产规划提供依据。气候变化（包括温度、降水、日照时数等）和极端天气（如干旱、洪涝和暴风雨等）已经对农业产生了深刻的影响。综述了目前国内外气候变化对作物生产潜力的影响的研究方法，以及气候变化对中国小麦、水稻、玉米等主要粮食作物的生产潜力的影响，分析了目前研究中存在的问题与展望，以期为提高中国主要粮食作物的生产潜力和适应气候变化提供理论依据。
작물생산잠력적연구대제고작물산량、평개지구양식적생산능력화인구승재능력，이급위합리진행농업생산규화제공의거。기후변화（포괄온도、강수、일조시수등）화겁단천기（여간한、홍로화폭풍우등）이경대농업산생료심각적영향。종술료목전국내외기후변화대작물생산잠력적영향적연구방법，이급기후변화대중국소맥、수도、옥미등주요양식작물적생산잠력적영향，분석료목전연구중존재적문제여전망，이기위제고중국주요양식작물적생산잠력화괄응기후변화제공이론의거。
The study of the crop production potential can provide the basis for increasing crop yields, evaluating food production capacity and population carrying capacity of the region, as well as rational agricultural production planning. Climate change (including temperature, precipitation, and sunshine hours) and extreme weather (such as drought, floods and storms etc.) has exerted a profound impact on agriculture. This article summarized the research methods of climate change on crop production potential domestic and foreign, and the effects of climate change on China’s major grain crop (wheat, rice and maize) potential production, and analyzed the existing problems and prospect in the present studies, aiming at providing a theoretical basis to climate change adaptation and crop production potential boost.