CAJ | 학술논문

水资源短缺制约着中原城市群的协调发展和城市群总体功能的发挥。为提高水资源承载能力，采用水资源承载GDP总量和人均GDP表征城市群的水资源承载能力，采用系统的思想，把中原城市群作为一个完整系统，遵循系统内水资源共享的原则，从供水结构调整、水资源高效利用、经济结构调整和人口分布调整四个方面构建调控方案。基于水资源优化配置模型，分析各调控措施对提高中原城市群水资源承载能力的效果。结果表明：调整各城市黄河引水指标及南水北调中线引水指标、提高水资源利用效率、提高第二和第三产业比重、改变各城市人口分布，都能不同程度地提高城市群的水资源承载能力；采用各项调控措施时，水资源承载的经济总规模为35216．1亿元、人均GDP为77356元，超过规划的2020水平年中原城市群经济发展规模。
수자원단결제약착중원성시군적협조발전화성시군총체공능적발휘。위제고수자원승재능력，채용수자원승재GDP총량화인균GDP표정성시군적수자원승재능력，채용계통적사상，파중원성시군작위일개완정계통，준순계통내수자원공향적원칙，종공수결구조정、수자원고효이용、경제결구조정화인구분포조정사개방면구건조공방안。기우수자원우화배치모형，분석각조공조시대제고중원성시군수자원승재능력적효과。결과표명：조정각성시황하인수지표급남수북조중선인수지표、제고수자원이용효솔、제고제이화제삼산업비중、개변각성시인구분포，도능불동정도지제고성시군적수자원승재능력；채용각항조공조시시，수자원승재적경제총규모위35216．1억원、인균GDP위77356원，초과규화적2020수평년중원성시군경제발전규모。
The shortage of water resources has become one of the key constraints of coordination progress and the overall function development of the central Henan urban agglomeration. In order to develop the water resources carrying capacity,water resources carrying amount of GDP and GDP per capita were used to character the water resources carrying capacity of urban agglomeration. According to the system thought,the central Henan urban agglomeration was regarded as a whole system. Based on the rule of water resources shared within the system,the regu-lation schemes were established from four aspects:water structure adjustment,efficient utilization of water resources,economic structure ad-justment and population distribution adjustment. In view of the water resources optimal allocation model,it analyzed the improvement effect of regulation measures on central Henan urban agglomeration water resources carrying capacity. The result shows that adjusting the allocation indexes of the Yellow River diversion and the Middle Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project of each city,improving water use efficiency,increasing the proportion of the second and the tertiary industry and changing the population distribution of each city can improve the urban agglomeration water resources carrying capacity in different degrees. When using different control measures at the same time,the total economic scale of water resources carrying is 3 521. 61 billion Yuan and GDP per capita can reach 77,356 Yuan,which is beyond the planning economic scale in 2020.