CAJ | 학술논문

国际油价波动逐渐成为制约我国经济发展的不稳定因素，在期货投机和美元汇率因素的推动下，石油背后的金融属性将会对国际石油价格波动起着越来越重要的作用，从金融因素关注石油价格的波动也就具有重要的现实意义。基于此，从金融因素研究石油价格波动问题，深入阐述石油作为特殊商品及金融属性的个性特点。针对2002年前后油价脱离传统面的波动进行灰色关联分析，从定量的角度证实了金融因素是近期国际石油价格波动的主导因素。
국제유개파동축점성위제약아국경제발전적불은정인소，재기화투궤화미원회솔인소적추동하，석유배후적금융속성장회대국제석유개격파동기착월래월중요적작용，종금융인소관주석유개격적파동야취구유중요적현실의의。기우차，종금융인소연구석유개격파동문제，심입천술석유작위특수상품급금융속성적개성특점。침대2002년전후유개탈리전통면적파동진행회색관련분석，종정량적각도증실료금융인소시근기국제석유개격파동적주도인소。
The international oil price fluctuations have become unstable factors of the domestic economy. With the continuous development of the promotion of future speculation and the dollar exchange rate factors ,the financial attributes behind the oil prices plays a more and more important role in deciding the international oil price. It has important practical significance on oil price fluctuation from the perspective of financial. Based on this ,we selected the fluctuations in oil prices in the financial perspective,designed to go into the details of oil as a special commodity goods,strategic and financial attributes,trying to explore the underlying causes of the rising crude oil prices,to grasp the personality characteristics. Grey relational analysis model was founded to analyze oil price volatility and we confirmed the financial factors are dominant factor after 2002,from a quantitative point of view.