技术经济与管理研究
技術經濟與管理研究
기술경제여관리연구
TECHNOECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT RESEARCH
2015年
3期
22-25
,共4页
城市地价%产业转移%城市规模%人口规模
城市地價%產業轉移%城市規模%人口規模
성시지개%산업전이%성시규모%인구규모
Urban land price%City size%Industrial shift%Population size
城市规模一直是城市化发展战略的重要问题，究竟什么规模的城市符合城市发展的要求。文章从城市化过程中的聚集效应和扩散效应入手对城市规模进行比较静态分析，为城市发展战略中城市规模的确定提供参考依据。当城市的聚集效应和扩散效应达到均衡的时候，城市规模也达到均衡。技术和城市地价会对均衡的城市规模产生影响，其影响方向经过比较静态分析之后，得出两个结论：技术对城市规模的影响是反向的；城市房价对城市规模的影响是正向的。文章利用北京市相关数据进行实证分析验证了这两个结论，并针对这两个结论给出简单的经济解释。
城市規模一直是城市化髮展戰略的重要問題，究竟什麽規模的城市符閤城市髮展的要求。文章從城市化過程中的聚集效應和擴散效應入手對城市規模進行比較靜態分析，為城市髮展戰略中城市規模的確定提供參攷依據。噹城市的聚集效應和擴散效應達到均衡的時候，城市規模也達到均衡。技術和城市地價會對均衡的城市規模產生影響，其影響方嚮經過比較靜態分析之後，得齣兩箇結論：技術對城市規模的影響是反嚮的；城市房價對城市規模的影響是正嚮的。文章利用北京市相關數據進行實證分析驗證瞭這兩箇結論，併針對這兩箇結論給齣簡單的經濟解釋。
성시규모일직시성시화발전전략적중요문제，구경십요규모적성시부합성시발전적요구。문장종성시화과정중적취집효응화확산효응입수대성시규모진행비교정태분석，위성시발전전략중성시규모적학정제공삼고의거。당성시적취집효응화확산효응체도균형적시후，성시규모야체도균형。기술화성시지개회대균형적성시규모산생영향，기영향방향경과비교정태분석지후，득출량개결론：기술대성시규모적영향시반향적；성시방개대성시규모적영향시정향적。문장이용북경시상관수거진행실증분석험증료저량개결론，병침대저량개결론급출간단적경제해석。
City size has been regarded as an important issue of the urbanization strategy and what city size could meet the requirements of urbanization should be investigated. After analyzing the agglomeration effect and diffusion effect in the process of urbanization, comparative statics analysis was carried out on city size. This paper can provide a reference for determining the city size in urban development strategy. When the equilibrium between agglomeration effect and diffusion effect was reached , city size also reached the equilibrium. Based on the analysis of the impact direction of technology and the urban land price on the balanced city size , such conclusions can be drawn that the impact on the city size by technology was inverted;the impact on the city size by urban housing price was positive. Then these two conclusions were verified through empirical analysis on the basis of Beijing city data and two conclusions were interpreted simply.
