贵州大学学报(社会科学版)
貴州大學學報(社會科學版)
귀주대학학보(사회과학판)
JOURNAL OF GUIZHOU UNIVERSITY(SOCIAL SCIENCE)
2015年
1期
89-95
,共7页
饥荒成因%分布差异%饥荒终结%信息扭曲
饑荒成因%分佈差異%饑荒終結%信息扭麯
기황성인%분포차이%기황종결%신식뉴곡
the causes of the famine%distribution differences%the end of famine%information distortion
1959—1961年中国发生了现代人类史上最为惨重的饥荒,导致了人口大量非正常死亡。本文对大饥荒成因、终结和分布差异原因进行了系统回顾和评述,指出现有研究的解释力度不足,存在诸多可疑之处。在此基础之上,提出了一个能融合多个观点的解释性框架,构建了一个中央决策层、地方政府实施层和农民反馈层互动博弈圈,分析了信息流交换异常与否对饥荒蔓延、缓解和终结的影响。
1959—1961年中國髮生瞭現代人類史上最為慘重的饑荒,導緻瞭人口大量非正常死亡。本文對大饑荒成因、終結和分佈差異原因進行瞭繫統迴顧和評述,指齣現有研究的解釋力度不足,存在諸多可疑之處。在此基礎之上,提齣瞭一箇能融閤多箇觀點的解釋性框架,構建瞭一箇中央決策層、地方政府實施層和農民反饋層互動博弈圈,分析瞭信息流交換異常與否對饑荒蔓延、緩解和終結的影響。
1959—1961년중국발생료현대인류사상최위참중적기황,도치료인구대량비정상사망。본문대대기황성인、종결화분포차이원인진행료계통회고화평술,지출현유연구적해석력도불족,존재제다가의지처。재차기출지상,제출료일개능융합다개관점적해석성광가,구건료일개중앙결책층、지방정부실시층화농민반궤층호동박혁권,분석료신식류교환이상여부대기황만연、완해화종결적영향。
From 1959 to 1961,the most devastating famine in modern human history occurred in China,re-sulting in large numbers of unnatural deaths.The present paper conducts a systematic retrospect of and interpre-tation on the disaster in the aspects of cause,outcome and distribution,and points out that the interpretation by the exiting researches cannot explain the above mentioned factors sufficiently,leading to many suspicious points. Based on this,the paper puts forward an interpretative framework which integrates hypotheses from multiple per-spectives;constructs a collaborative circle which includes a central decision -making layer,local government executive layers and a farmer feedback layer;and analyzes whether the influence of abnormalities of information exchange affected the spread,the alleviation and the ending of the famine.