CAJ | 학술논문

构建了南昌市城市化与城市林业发展评价指标体系，采用主成分分析计算两者的综合发展指数，并运用模糊数学的隶属度模型计算了南昌市城市化与城市林业发展的协调度。结果表明：1）2002—2012年，南昌市城市化呈快速发展趋势，城市林业的发展可以分为较快发展（2002—2007年）、平缓稳定发展（2007—2009年）、快速发展（2009—2012年）三个阶段；2）城市化与城市林业的发展状态大体可划分为三个阶段，即城市化略滞后于城市林业阶段（2002—2005年，2010—2012年）、城市化与城市林业波动发展阶段（2005—2007年）、城市林业滞后于城市化阶段（2007—2009年）；3）南昌市城市化与城市林业协调度总的为优良协调，协调度较高，城市化与城市林业的发展速度比较一致，但城市林业质量是否符合了城市化水平还有待进一步研究。
구건료남창시성시화여성시임업발전평개지표체계，채용주성분분석계산량자적종합발전지수，병운용모호수학적대속도모형계산료남창시성시화여성시임업발전적협조도。결과표명：1）2002—2012년，남창시성시화정쾌속발전추세，성시임업적발전가이분위교쾌발전（2002—2007년）、평완은정발전（2007—2009년）、쾌속발전（2009—2012년）삼개계단；2）성시화여성시임업적발전상태대체가화분위삼개계단，즉성시화략체후우성시임업계단（2002—2005년，2010—2012년）、성시화여성시임업파동발전계단（2005—2007년）、성시임업체후우성시화계단（2007—2009년）；3）남창시성시화여성시임업협조도총적위우량협조，협조도교고，성시화여성시임업적발전속도비교일치，단성시임업질량시부부합료성시화수평환유대진일보연구。
An evaluation index system of urbanization and urban forestry in Nanchang was established and principal component analysis was conducted to calculate the development index between them,and use the membership degree of the fuzzy mathematical model used to calculate the urbanization and urban forestry development coordination of Nanchang.The results show that :(i)during the years between 2002 and 2012,the development of urbanization in Nanchang was rapid,the development of urban forestry can be divided into three stages:rapid development stage (2002 -2007),slow and steady development stage (2007 -2009),the rapid development stage (2009 -2012);(ii)the state of development of urbanization and urban forestry could be divided into three stages :urbanization slightly behind the urban forestry stage (2002 -2005,2010 -2012),urbanization and urban forestry fluctuation development stage (2005 -2007),urban forestry lagging behind the urbanization stage (2007 -2009);(iii)the coordination degree of urbanization and urban forestry totally was good,with a high degree of coordination,the development speed of urbanization and urban forestry was well consistent,but whether the quality of urban forestry ac-cords with the level of urbanization remains to be further studied.