中国安全生产科学技术
中國安全生產科學技術
중국안전생산과학기술
JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
2015年
1期
138-144
,共7页
姚安林%黄亮亮%蒋宏业%李又绿%徐惠
姚安林%黃亮亮%蔣宏業%李又綠%徐惠
요안림%황량량%장굉업%리우록%서혜
输油气站场%风险评价技术%模糊推理系统%RCM%RBI
輸油氣站場%風險評價技術%模糊推理繫統%RCM%RBI
수유기참장%풍험평개기술%모호추리계통%RCM%RBI
oil & gas transmission station%risk assessment technique%fuzzy inference system%RCM%RBI
为完善国内输油气站场综合风险评价技术,提出一种站场综合风险评价模型。该模型基于模糊集理论,重点对传统的RCM与RBI技术进行改进与完善。将故障(失效)后果划分为伤亡后果、经济损失、环境影响和无形损失;采用模糊推理系统代替原有的算法进行计算设备风险,将动设备与静设备的风险转换为统一标度,得到站场综合风险值;最后采用雷达图显示站内设备的风险分布状况。实例分析表明,所建立的综合风险评价模型能够有效地解决定性风险与定量风险的融合问题,可为输油气站场的风险管理提供决策依据。
為完善國內輸油氣站場綜閤風險評價技術,提齣一種站場綜閤風險評價模型。該模型基于模糊集理論,重點對傳統的RCM與RBI技術進行改進與完善。將故障(失效)後果劃分為傷亡後果、經濟損失、環境影響和無形損失;採用模糊推理繫統代替原有的算法進行計算設備風險,將動設備與靜設備的風險轉換為統一標度,得到站場綜閤風險值;最後採用雷達圖顯示站內設備的風險分佈狀況。實例分析錶明,所建立的綜閤風險評價模型能夠有效地解決定性風險與定量風險的融閤問題,可為輸油氣站場的風險管理提供決策依據。
위완선국내수유기참장종합풍험평개기술,제출일충참장종합풍험평개모형。해모형기우모호집이론,중점대전통적RCM여RBI기술진행개진여완선。장고장(실효)후과화분위상망후과、경제손실、배경영향화무형손실;채용모호추리계통대체원유적산법진행계산설비풍험,장동설비여정설비적풍험전환위통일표도,득도참장종합풍험치;최후채용뢰체도현시참내설비적풍험분포상황。실례분석표명,소건립적종합풍험평개모형능구유효지해결정성풍험여정량풍험적융합문제,가위수유기참장적풍험관리제공결책의거。
A model of comprehensive risk assessment of oil and gas transmission station is proposed in order to im-prove the risk assessment technique of station. Based on fuzzy set theory, the model puts emphasis on the improve-ment of Reliability Centered Maintenance ( RCM ) and Risk-Based Inspection Technology ( RBI ) . Safety conse-quence, financial loss, environment implication and non-physical loss are taken as fault or failure consequence of facilities. Fuzzy inference system is applied to calculate risk of facilities instead of primary algorithm, which trans-fers the risk of rotary machine and static equipment into uniform standard. Lastly, risk distribution circumstance is shown by radar chart. Example verifies that qualitative and quantitative risk could be integrated reasonably by the model established and it could be decision basis for risk management in stations.