中国安全生产科学技术
中國安全生產科學技術
중국안전생산과학기술
JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
2015年
1期
65-70
,共6页
城乡结合部%突发事件%触发因素%解释结构模型
城鄉結閤部%突髮事件%觸髮因素%解釋結構模型
성향결합부%돌발사건%촉발인소%해석결구모형
rural-urban continuum%emergency%trigger factors%interpretative structural model
基于解释结构模型对城乡结合部突发事件触发因素进行分析,通过建立城乡结合部突发事件触发因素的关系结构模型,分析得到触发突发事件的表层影响因素、中层间接影响因素和深层根本影响因素。结果表明:人口因素是触发突发事件的深层根本因素,社会文化因素以及国家制度政策因素是中层影响因素,而土地因素、经济发展因素以及生态环境因素等是触发城乡结合部突发事件的表层因素。掌握这些因素,这在很大程度上会避免城乡结合部突发事件的发生,对政府的应急管理工作具有一定的参考价值。
基于解釋結構模型對城鄉結閤部突髮事件觸髮因素進行分析,通過建立城鄉結閤部突髮事件觸髮因素的關繫結構模型,分析得到觸髮突髮事件的錶層影響因素、中層間接影響因素和深層根本影響因素。結果錶明:人口因素是觸髮突髮事件的深層根本因素,社會文化因素以及國傢製度政策因素是中層影響因素,而土地因素、經濟髮展因素以及生態環境因素等是觸髮城鄉結閤部突髮事件的錶層因素。掌握這些因素,這在很大程度上會避免城鄉結閤部突髮事件的髮生,對政府的應急管理工作具有一定的參攷價值。
기우해석결구모형대성향결합부돌발사건촉발인소진행분석,통과건립성향결합부돌발사건촉발인소적관계결구모형,분석득도촉발돌발사건적표층영향인소、중층간접영향인소화심층근본영향인소。결과표명:인구인소시촉발돌발사건적심층근본인소,사회문화인소이급국가제도정책인소시중층영향인소,이토지인소、경제발전인소이급생태배경인소등시촉발성향결합부돌발사건적표층인소。장악저사인소,저재흔대정도상회피면성향결합부돌발사건적발생,대정부적응급관리공작구유일정적삼고개치。
The trigger factors of emergencies in rural-urban continuum were analyzed based on interpretative struc-tural model. The surface influence factors, middle indirect influence factors and underlying fundamental influence factors that trigger the emergencies were obtained through the establishment of relationship structural model for the trigger factors of emergencies in rural-urban continuum. The results showed that the demographic factor is the un-derlying fundamental factor, the social and cultural factor and the national system policy factor are middle influen-cing factors, and land factor, economic development factor and the ecological and environmental factor are the sur-face factors triggering the emergencies in rural-urban continuum. Grasping these factors can avoid the occurrence of emergencies in rural-urban continuum to a great extent, and it has a certain reference value for government emer-gency management.