未来与发展
未來與髮展
미래여발전
FUTURE AND DEVELOPMENT
2015年
1期
88-92
,共5页
刘东皇%蔡婷%查志刚%谢佳玲
劉東皇%蔡婷%查誌剛%謝佳玲
류동황%채정%사지강%사가령
劳动报酬%国际收支%双顺差%中国经验
勞動報酬%國際收支%雙順差%中國經驗
노동보수%국제수지%쌍순차%중국경험
wage whare%international payments%Double Surplus%Chinese experience
在中国经济高速增长过程中,国际收支出现长期持续“双顺差”现象。理论上劳动报酬占比与国际收支间存在内在联系。基于对外贸易流量和资本流动两个层面,本文建立劳动报酬占比影响国际收支的计量模型,实证研究也表明:劳动者报酬下降是导致长期持续“双顺差”的重要原因,提升劳动者报酬是经济结构优化的重要途径,由此,宏观经济政策应顺势而为,推进外贸发展方式转变。
在中國經濟高速增長過程中,國際收支齣現長期持續“雙順差”現象。理論上勞動報酬佔比與國際收支間存在內在聯繫。基于對外貿易流量和資本流動兩箇層麵,本文建立勞動報酬佔比影響國際收支的計量模型,實證研究也錶明:勞動者報酬下降是導緻長期持續“雙順差”的重要原因,提升勞動者報酬是經濟結構優化的重要途徑,由此,宏觀經濟政策應順勢而為,推進外貿髮展方式轉變。
재중국경제고속증장과정중,국제수지출현장기지속“쌍순차”현상。이론상노동보수점비여국제수지간존재내재련계。기우대외무역류량화자본류동량개층면,본문건립노동보수점비영향국제수지적계량모형,실증연구야표명:노동자보수하강시도치장기지속“쌍순차”적중요원인,제승노동자보수시경제결구우화적중요도경,유차,굉관경제정책응순세이위,추진외무발전방식전변。
China’s economy has been developing rapidly, but at the same time it also faces many problems. One of them is that long-term and constant “Double Surplus” phenomenon appeared in the international balance payments. A reduction in the wage share has a certain effect on the double surplus in china ’s international payments. This article focuses on foreign trade flows and capital inflows, establishing role model showing the mechanism how the wage share affect international payments. The results show that: the wage share is an important cause of long-term “Double Surplus”, its improvement is an important way for the optimization of economic structure. Finally, we put forward related policy recommendations.