CAJ | 학술논문

文章将博弈论与系统动力学相结合，构建了产业技术创新战略联盟投机行为博弈的系统动力学模型，以政府监督管理为研究视角，对政府监督管理抑制产业技术创新战略联盟投机行为的作用机理进行了分析。通过系统动力学仿真得出，政府主管部门对投机盟员惩罚力度、惩罚机制等因素直接影响产业技术创新战略联盟投机行为的演化结果。政府主管部门对盟员投机行为的惩罚力度大小与产业技术创新战略联盟投机行为演化过程的动态性密切相关，动态惩罚机制在投机行为演化的波动性控制方面具有明显效果。最后建议政府主管部门针对产业技术创新战略联盟运行中存在的投机行为问题，发挥监督管理职能，采取惩罚措施以有效抑制投机行为，增强产业技术创新战略联盟的运行稳定性。
문장장박혁론여계통동역학상결합，구건료산업기술창신전략련맹투궤행위박혁적계통동역학모형，이정부감독관리위연구시각，대정부감독관리억제산업기술창신전략련맹투궤행위적작용궤리진행료분석。통과계통동역학방진득출，정부주관부문대투궤맹원징벌력도、징벌궤제등인소직접영향산업기술창신전략련맹투궤행위적연화결과。정부주관부문대맹원투궤행위적징벌력도대소여산업기술창신전략련맹투궤행위연화과정적동태성밀절상관，동태징벌궤제재투궤행위연화적파동성공제방면구유명현효과。최후건의정부주관부문침대산업기술창신전략련맹운행중존재적투궤행위문제，발휘감독관리직능，채취징벌조시이유효억제투궤행위，증강산업기술창신전략련맹적운행은정성。
From research aspects of government regulation, a SD model of alliance opportunism gaming was formed by combining gaming theory and SD to describe alliance opportunism behavior problems and dynamic characters of government and alliance members' opportunism behavior. The SD simulation results show that punishment, punishment mechanism and other factors directly affect the evolution results of speculative of strategy alliance for industrial technology innovation. Government penalties for speculation are closely related to the dynamics of the evolution process, and the dynamic mechanism of punishment has obvious effect on controlling volatility of speculation evolution. It was recommended that government should exert the function of supervision and management, take punitive measures to effectively curb speculative behavior, enhance stability of strategy alliance for industrial technology innovation.