关于山西煤矿百万吨死亡率 GM（1，1）模型预测研究
관우산서매광백만둔사망솔 GM（1，1）모형예측연구
Research on the Prediction of Coal Mine Million Tons Mortality in Shanxi Based on the GM(1,1)Model
  • 万方数据
    华北科技学院学报 화북과기학원학보
    JOURNAL OF NORTH CHINA INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
    2014年 11期 43-45,56 ,共4页

    连会青%冉伟

    련회청%염위

    GM(1,1)模型%灰色理论%百万吨死亡率 GM(1,1)模型%灰色理論%百萬噸死亡率
    GM(1,1)모형%회색이론%백만둔사망솔
    GM(1,1)model%gray theory%million tons mortality
    根据灰色系统预测理论，建立了煤矿百万吨死亡率的 GM（1，1）动态预测模型对山西省近几年的煤矿百万吨死亡率进行统计预测，并验证了预测精度。结果表明：该预测模型的构造是准确的，对煤矿的安全生产提供了科学的理论依据。
    근거회색계통예측이론，건립료매광백만둔사망솔적 GM（1，1）동태예측모형대산서성근궤년적매광백만둔사망솔진행통계예측，병험증료예측정도。결과표명：해예측모형적구조시준학적，대매광적안전생산제공료과학적이론의거。
    According to the grey forecasting theory,we established the GM(1,1)dynamic prediction model of million tons mortality,predicted million tons mortality of Shanxi Province statistically in recent years.The pre-diction accuracy is validated.The results show that the establishment of the prediction model is accurate,pro-viding precise theory basis for coal mine safety production.
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