重庆三峡学院学报
重慶三峽學院學報
중경삼협학원학보
JOURNAL OF CHONGQING THREE-GORGES UNIVERSITY
2015年
1期
40-43
,共4页
经济因素%安徽%住房价格%主成分分析
經濟因素%安徽%住房價格%主成分分析
경제인소%안휘%주방개격%주성분분석
economic factors%Anhui%housing prices%principal component analysis
通过主成分分析方法分析影响安徽省房价的各因素之间的相互关系，将众多影响房价的因素简化为几个少数的且相互之间不存在多重共线性的经济因素，构建安徽省房价经济预测模型，分析影响安徽省房价的具体经济因素指标，针对建立的经济模型分析说明经济因素对安徽省房价的影响程度。研究表明：对安徽省房价上涨具有正向推动作用的有安徽生产总值 GDP，各种价格总指数，城镇居民家庭人均可支配收入，货币供应量，国内旅游经济指标；负方向变动的是美元兑人民币的汇率水平。
通過主成分分析方法分析影響安徽省房價的各因素之間的相互關繫，將衆多影響房價的因素簡化為幾箇少數的且相互之間不存在多重共線性的經濟因素，構建安徽省房價經濟預測模型，分析影響安徽省房價的具體經濟因素指標，針對建立的經濟模型分析說明經濟因素對安徽省房價的影響程度。研究錶明：對安徽省房價上漲具有正嚮推動作用的有安徽生產總值 GDP，各種價格總指數，城鎮居民傢庭人均可支配收入，貨幣供應量，國內旅遊經濟指標；負方嚮變動的是美元兌人民幣的彙率水平。
통과주성분분석방법분석영향안휘성방개적각인소지간적상호관계，장음다영향방개적인소간화위궤개소수적차상호지간불존재다중공선성적경제인소，구건안휘성방개경제예측모형，분석영향안휘성방개적구체경제인소지표，침대건립적경제모형분석설명경제인소대안휘성방개적영향정도。연구표명：대안휘성방개상창구유정향추동작용적유안휘생산총치 GDP，각충개격총지수，성진거민가정인균가지배수입，화폐공응량，국내여유경제지표；부방향변동적시미원태인민폐적회솔수평。
This paper analyzes the interrelationship among the factors that affect the housing price in Anhui by the principal component analysis method. The many factors that affect the housing price can be simplified to a few economic factors that are on non-mutually multi-collinearity. This paper builds up the economic forecasting model to analyze the specific economic index system that affects the housing price in Anhui. And with the model how the housing price in Anhui is affected by the economic factors is analyzed. Studies have shown that the housing price in Anhui has been positively promoted by Anhui GDP, the overall price index, the average disposable income of urban residents, the amount of money supply, the domestic tourism economic indicators and the changes of USD dollar exchange rate with Renminbi in the negative direction.
