工业技术经济
工業技術經濟
공업기술경제
INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY & ECONOMY
2015年
1期
91-99
,共9页
货币政策%工具类型%区域效应%PVAR
貨幣政策%工具類型%區域效應%PVAR
화폐정책%공구류형%구역효응%PVAR
monetary policy%the type of tool%regional effect%PVAR
文章基于中国2005年一季度到2013年四季度最新数据,结合货币政策工具选择的新动向,通过建立面板向量自回归(PVAR )模型,使用脉冲响应函数分析方法,对不同类型的货币政策工具(数量型和价格型)对中国不同区域(东、中、西三大经济地带)使用可能带来的差异进行了经验检验与测度。结果表明:三大经济带产出对数量型货币政策工具冲击响应的敏感度按东中西递减;中部经济带价格相对东西部经济带对价格型工具利率更为敏感,三大经济带价格对以利率为代表的价格型工具冲击的响应的差异不明显;汇率工具在各经济带间响应存在明显差异,敏感度和强度随东中西递减。最后文章还提出了相关建议。
文章基于中國2005年一季度到2013年四季度最新數據,結閤貨幣政策工具選擇的新動嚮,通過建立麵闆嚮量自迴歸(PVAR )模型,使用脈遲響應函數分析方法,對不同類型的貨幣政策工具(數量型和價格型)對中國不同區域(東、中、西三大經濟地帶)使用可能帶來的差異進行瞭經驗檢驗與測度。結果錶明:三大經濟帶產齣對數量型貨幣政策工具遲擊響應的敏感度按東中西遞減;中部經濟帶價格相對東西部經濟帶對價格型工具利率更為敏感,三大經濟帶價格對以利率為代錶的價格型工具遲擊的響應的差異不明顯;彙率工具在各經濟帶間響應存在明顯差異,敏感度和彊度隨東中西遞減。最後文章還提齣瞭相關建議。
문장기우중국2005년일계도도2013년사계도최신수거,결합화폐정책공구선택적신동향,통과건립면판향량자회귀(PVAR )모형,사용맥충향응함수분석방법,대불동류형적화폐정책공구(수량형화개격형)대중국불동구역(동、중、서삼대경제지대)사용가능대래적차이진행료경험검험여측도。결과표명:삼대경제대산출대수량형화폐정책공구충격향응적민감도안동중서체감;중부경제대개격상대동서부경제대대개격형공구리솔경위민감,삼대경제대개격대이리솔위대표적개격형공구충격적향응적차이불명현;회솔공구재각경제대간향응존재명현차이,민감도화강도수동중서체감。최후문장환제출료상관건의。
In this paper , based on a quarter of 2005 to the fourth quarter of 2013 , the most recent data of China , under the new trend of combination of monetary policy tools selection , through the establishment of a panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) model , using the impulse response function analysis method , different types of monetary policy tools (quantity and price based on different regions of China , and three major economic zones ) use may be brought about by the difference of the experience of inspection and measurement . The results showed that :three economic belts output for quantitative tools of monetary policy shock response sensitivity according to the east and western economic belt relative price decline ;Middle Eastern Economic Belt on the price type tools is more sensitive to differences in response rates , and three economic belts of price type tools to interest rates as the representative of the impact is not obvious ;exchange tool in the economic zone are obvious differences between the response , sensitivity and strength with the West and East decline . Finally , the article also puts forward related suggestions .