工业技术经济
工業技術經濟
공업기술경제
INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY & ECONOMY
2015年
1期
78-90
,共13页
内生增长%平衡增长路径%偏离度%资本缺口%产业结构调整
內生增長%平衡增長路徑%偏離度%資本缺口%產業結構調整
내생증장%평형증장로경%편리도%자본결구%산업결구조정
endogenous growth%balanced growth path%deviation%capital cap%industrial structure adjustment
通过建立一个由两部门经济构成的增长模型,给出经济内生增长所需满足的条件,并得出衡量各产业偏离度以及产业结构偏离度的一个相对合理指标。然后基于偏离度以及资本缺口的实证分析表明,区域产业结构调整方向、路径选择以及促进产业结构调整的储蓄率变化并没有统一模式,但根据各省市自治区产业结构偏离度以及资本缺口情况,关于结构调整方面基本可分为九大类,储蓄率分为下降和上升两类。这对我国区域产业结构调整及优化具有一定的政策参考价值,有利于明确产业结构调整方向,优化资源配置,改善经济结构,实现经济的可持续增长。
通過建立一箇由兩部門經濟構成的增長模型,給齣經濟內生增長所需滿足的條件,併得齣衡量各產業偏離度以及產業結構偏離度的一箇相對閤理指標。然後基于偏離度以及資本缺口的實證分析錶明,區域產業結構調整方嚮、路徑選擇以及促進產業結構調整的儲蓄率變化併沒有統一模式,但根據各省市自治區產業結構偏離度以及資本缺口情況,關于結構調整方麵基本可分為九大類,儲蓄率分為下降和上升兩類。這對我國區域產業結構調整及優化具有一定的政策參攷價值,有利于明確產業結構調整方嚮,優化資源配置,改善經濟結構,實現經濟的可持續增長。
통과건립일개유량부문경제구성적증장모형,급출경제내생증장소수만족적조건,병득출형량각산업편리도이급산업결구편리도적일개상대합리지표。연후기우편리도이급자본결구적실증분석표명,구역산업결구조정방향、로경선택이급촉진산업결구조정적저축솔변화병몰유통일모식,단근거각성시자치구산업결구편리도이급자본결구정황,관우결구조정방면기본가분위구대류,저축솔분위하강화상승량류。저대아국구역산업결구조정급우화구유일정적정책삼고개치,유리우명학산업결구조정방향,우화자원배치,개선경제결구,실현경제적가지속증장。
By establishing an endogenous growth model which consists of two sectors , the conditions required by endogenous growth and a relatively reasonable index judging the industries deviation and industrial structure deviation are given . Then the empirical analysis based on the deviation and capital cap shows there are no unified pattern on region industry structure adjustment directions , alternative paths and changes of saving rate promoting the structure adjustment . But according to the current situation of industrial structure deviation and capital cap , the adjustment pattern can be divided into nine and two categories on structure adjustment and saving rate respectively to all provinces and autonomous regions . The results are expected to benfit the current region industrial structure adjustment and optimization , and help to confirm the direction of industrial structure adjustment , optimize the allocation of resources , improve the economic structure and achieve sustainable economic growth in China .